Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x508134972f4366e64c85aa0073669655c8d4f969064928f7de01add0cc3cebd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7986…baa5backed Under | 50c | 1,394$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.06 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 50c | 1,210$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.22 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 47c | 757.23$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.29 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 43c | 440.52$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.35 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 328.46$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.61 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Under | 50c | 299.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.56 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 75c | 262.86$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 55c | 192.2$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 300 | 46%138 W · 162 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 50c | 190.46$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Over | 53c | 188.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 326 | 50.3%164 W · 162 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Under | 35c | 150.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 26c | 148.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 1,133 | 31.1%352 W · 781 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 51c | 146.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 245 | 43.3%106 W · 139 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 66c | 131.42$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 1,168 | 66.1%772 W · 396 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 44c | 129.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 40c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Under | 31c | 119.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Under | 52c | 114.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 56c | 111.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…559ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…d2babacked Over | 49c | 98.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Over | 50c | 90.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 51c | 90.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 49c | 61.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac07…3193backed Under | 52c | 60.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec09…4c2fbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 57c | 59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 357 | 44.5%159 W · 198 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked Over | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 51.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…dbbabacked Under | 52c | 50.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 57c | 50.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 1,459 | 43.3%632 W · 827 L | -33.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6b8fbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 50c | 44.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c47…b30abacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7e…e0b3backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Under | 31c | 35.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Under | 31c | 34.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 381 | 55.1%210 W · 171 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 52c | 32.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…74bcbacked Under | 54c | 31.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 59c | 20.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Kiwoom DRX won
- Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)Kiwoom DRX won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupKiwoom DRX won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 WinnerKiwoom DRX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.