Tennis · resolved market
ITF Florence: Liv Hovde vs Kristina Penickova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c9605fd7eb9deb6414c58361e8eef4773fdf467ed39863570b137d565809f96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kristina Penickovaof Liv Hovde, Kristina Penickova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Liv Hovde | 1c | 5,091$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Liv Hovde | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Liv Hovde | 3c | 2,742$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Liv Hovde | 3c | 1,887$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Liv Hovde | 3c | 1,670$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…5ab8backed Liv Hovde | 8c | 945.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kristina Penickova | 49c | 656.86$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.88 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Liv Hovde | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…849cbacked Kristina Penickova | 53c | 376.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.46 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Liv Hovde | 35c | 345.71$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Kristina Penickova | 16c | 260.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.41 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Liv Hovde | 15c | 220$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Liv Hovde | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Liv Hovde | 15c | 160.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Liv Hovde | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…4b02backed Kristina Penickova | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Kristina Penickova | 24c | 114.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.27 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Kristina Penickova | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Liv Hovde | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Liv Hovde | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Liv Hovde | 54c | 88.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Liv Hovde | 15c | 76.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Liv Hovde | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Liv Hovde | 51c | 58.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Liv Hovde | 53c | 48.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Liv Hovde | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Kristina Penickova | 55c | 35.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Liv Hovde | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Liv Hovde | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Liv Hovde | 62c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.