Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x426576999510f61bfec4b24b3dcd6b651a4c01fd074f5c549f7865e843b0998c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilbirs eSportsof Zero Tenacity, Ilbirs eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 54c | 6,933$3,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.38 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Ilbirs eSports | 51c | 3,936$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.56 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked Zero Tenacity | 45c | 3,422$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 2,743$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…5ab8backed Zero Tenacity | 14c | 2,187$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 42c | 2,046$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.98 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Ilbirs eSports | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.3 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 1,960$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.14 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 1,882$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.34 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…01c5backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 1,746$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 1,661$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.49 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 1,600$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.85 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 1,462$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.21 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 1,374$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.65 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df3…1411backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 1,315$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 1,289$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.86 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Ilbirs eSports | 55c | 1,264$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.58 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 1,203$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.48 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…5ca8backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 1,160$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ilbirs eSports | 43c | 1,000$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.1 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 942.42$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.66 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 933.14$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.34 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Ilbirs eSports | 24c | 900$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 854.09$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.4 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 822.25$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.28 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Ilbirs eSports | 46c | 786.41$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.9 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Zero Tenacity | 45c | 781.82$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Zero Tenacity | 66c | 758.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Ilbirs eSports | 45c | 746.79$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.63 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…22e1backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 743.09$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 727.81$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.36 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 691.11$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb7…1dd0backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 678.88$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x389c…7780backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 666.6$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Zero Tenacity | 44c | 661.17$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.22 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Zero Tenacity | 41c | 583.11$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.16 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zero Tenacity | 28c | 549.68$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.22 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ilbirs eSports | 35c | 532.88$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.78 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c0e6backed Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 530.56$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.57 | 222 | 59%131 W · 91 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 499.16$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.15 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Zero Tenacity | 24c | 480$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 475.23$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6575…c2c7backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 407.08$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.67 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Ilbirs eSports | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Zero Tenacity | 35c | 389.31$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.78 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 381.55$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…f520backed Ilbirs eSports | 52c | 359.95$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.81 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Zero Tenacity | 14c | 348.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 34c | 345.44$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Zero Tenacity | 11c | 340.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 310$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.07 | 497 | 32.2%160 W · 337 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 303$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Zero Tenacity | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Zero Tenacity | 61c | 298.47$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Zero Tenacity | 61c | 288$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.63 | 224 | 62.1%139 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Zero Tenacity | 37c | 273.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 55c | 271.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.98 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 54c | 263.1$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Zero Tenacity | 50c | 260.3$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 436 | 49.1%214 W · 222 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 256.83$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.78 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ilbirs eSports | 46c | 252.02$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.52 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Zero Tenacity | 45c | 251.73$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Zero Tenacity | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Zero Tenacity | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 43c | 235.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.22 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Zero Tenacity | 50c | 231.13$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 565 | 45%254 W · 311 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.42 | 372 | 41.9%156 W · 216 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Zero Tenacity | 32c | 228.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 177 | 33.3%59 W · 118 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 53c | 226.02$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Ilbirs eSports | 37c | 214.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.36 | 581 | 56.6%329 W · 252 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed Zero Tenacity | 28c | 210.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Zero Tenacity | 48c | 206.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 339 | 51.3%174 W · 165 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…b4e9backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 193.87$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 188.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Ilbirs eSports | 39c | 183.02$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…b74dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Ilbirs eSports | 20c | 177.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.73 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 42c | 170.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe3…eaafbacked Zero Tenacity | 63c | 167.59$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…c69ebacked Zero Tenacity | 63c | 166.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -73%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 163.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd788…5f8ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Ilbirs eSports | 55c | 140$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…d360backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 138.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 138$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Ilbirs eSports | 58c | 131.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 419 | 53.7%225 W · 194 L | +16.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 126.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 122.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…90b2backed Zero Tenacity | 24c | 120.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 204 | 21.1%43 W · 161 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 115.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…c00ebacked Zero Tenacity | 44c | 113.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BIlbirs eSports won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.