Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x334230b911125d37a662f4c3c4a910fd277eeabe415120b43f6cb4d83c7c152d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilbirs eSportsof Zero Tenacity, Ilbirs eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 11,386$5,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,939.39 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Ilbirs eSports | 45c | 6,455$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.05 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 5,106$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Zero Tenacity | 24c | 5,000$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.4 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Ilbirs eSports | 51c | 4,830$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.82 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 4,631$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.21 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…0adcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 55c | 4,100$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Ilbirs eSports | 43c | 3,796$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.84 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ilbirs eSports | 58c | 3,779$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.25 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 2,958$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.17 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Zero Tenacity | 26c | 2,418$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.07 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Zero Tenacity | 55c | 2,406$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 2,062$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.45 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 1,748$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.04 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb7…1dd0backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 1,617$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 1,529$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.01 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 44c | 1,500$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.81 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.99 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Ilbirs eSports | 53c | 1,400$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 1,337$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 1,310$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.07 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…5ca8backed Ilbirs eSports | 55c | 1,095$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 1,041$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.89 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…f520backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 1,007$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.25 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 1,000$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.08 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…2968backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 962.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 960.87$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…b3a8backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 934.17$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.02 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 871.35$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.9 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 850.16$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.09 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Zero Tenacity | 43c | 808.35$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.22 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 771.56$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.47 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Zero Tenacity | 50c | 754.74$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.92 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 40c | 687.83$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.7 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 684.77$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…6bf4backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 662.55$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 656.6$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.7 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…e67bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 649.83$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.83 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…de73backed Ilbirs eSports | 40c | 643.9$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Zero Tenacity | 55c | 612.29$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.76 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 599.99$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 517.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.01 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Zero Tenacity | 38c | 517.18$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.53 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 36c | 436.02$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.83 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Ilbirs eSports | 53c | 429.18$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.71 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 413.13$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.35 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 391.67$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Zero Tenacity | 39c | 390.18$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.96 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Zero Tenacity | 52c | 387.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 386.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.36 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Zero Tenacity | 30c | 367.96$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Ilbirs eSports | 55c | 365.6$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.46 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Ilbirs eSports | 46c | 340.38$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.67 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 332.03$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.9 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Zero Tenacity | 39c | 330$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 43c | 327.14$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 311.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.41 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 304.87$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.87 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Zero Tenacity | 41c | 301.51$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 300$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.56 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 291.31$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.32 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Zero Tenacity | 22c | 290$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 256.91$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 253.35$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.49 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 247.08$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 245.02$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 236.85$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.64 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…3a70backed Ilbirs eSports | 57c | 234.91$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.91 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Zero Tenacity | 5c | 233.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Ilbirs eSports | 58c | 232.1$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.31 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 222.55$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.91 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c0e6backed Zero Tenacity | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 222 | 59%131 W · 91 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ilbirs eSports | 54c | 221.02$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 210$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 210$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 208$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…57c6backed Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…bf8ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 128 | 60.9%78 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…d485backed Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 199.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 193.86$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 191.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.44 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 54c | 180.26$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 177$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Zero Tenacity | 15c | 175.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 170$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Zero Tenacity | 52c | 161.83$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 157.52$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 59c | 154.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Zero Tenacity | 47c | 152.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Ilbirs eSports | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Ilbirs eSports | 54c | 140$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 135$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 134.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 132.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Zero Tenacity | 39c | 126.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 125.4$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BIlbirs eSports won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.