Boxing · resolved market
La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbab84f9dc3c9201ac55dc46eac70f036615893801b41ce45bc139681472de37e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheGrefgof IlloJuan, TheGrefg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5d7…4952backed TheGrefg | 68c | 3,230$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…93a7backed IlloJuan | 33c | 2,597$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked IlloJuan | 10c | 1,896$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed IlloJuan | 14c | 1,457$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.26 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed TheGrefg | 67c | 1,430$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed IlloJuan | 16c | 1,368$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb309…2f7dbacked TheGrefg | 72c | 1,348$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35c…33c8backed TheGrefg | 74c | 1,261$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked IlloJuan | 24c | 1,232$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed TheGrefg | 73c | 1,111$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.69 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked IlloJuan | 12c | 1,050$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…c8dcbacked TheGrefg | 73c | 1,041$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…7ed4backed IlloJuan | 23c | 861.92$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…ea13backed IlloJuan | 25c | 846.26$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…9cb1backed IlloJuan | 29c | 833.95$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…f8acbacked IlloJuan | 32c | 768.98$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf7…afa8backed TheGrefg | 75c | 765.54$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…cd9dbacked IlloJuan | 32c | 756.2$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed TheGrefg | 71c | 682.26$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af3…dad9backed TheGrefg | 74c | 682.22$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19a…2e85backed TheGrefg | 77c | 659.63$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked IlloJuan | 29c | 600.81$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.03 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4d…80d9backed TheGrefg | 74c | 597.21$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked IlloJuan | 30c | 596.31$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…64a7backed TheGrefg | 72c | 550.67$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed TheGrefg | 78c | 545.37$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.39 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f73…667dbacked TheGrefg | 76c | 529.74$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.74 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…b724backed IlloJuan | 29c | 526.71$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…faaebacked IlloJuan | 28c | 513.72$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…3f67backed TheGrefg | 73c | 512.95$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673a…e805backed TheGrefg | 76c | 501.38$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed TheGrefg | 72c | 499.96$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…21aabacked TheGrefg | 74c | 474.81$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fb…ff14backed IlloJuan | 29c | 462.64$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked IlloJuan | 25c | 446.87$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked IlloJuan | 14c | 434.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…647abacked TheGrefg | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7fabbacked IlloJuan | 23c | 420.54$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…fb86backed IlloJuan | 28c | 417.78$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…8e8cbacked IlloJuan | 32c | 414.06$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…095dbacked TheGrefg | 75c | 379.99$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…50ffbacked TheGrefg | 79c | 378.33$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…095dbacked TheGrefg | 74c | 376.06$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed TheGrefg | 67c | 366.8$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed TheGrefg | 67c | 343.64$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…c665backed TheGrefg | 68c | 319.96$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b3…9aeabacked IlloJuan | 27c | 314.82$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…9078backed IlloJuan | 33c | 307.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…5f9bbacked TheGrefg | 72c | 302.85$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d3…7acbbacked IlloJuan | 32c | 301.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed TheGrefg | 72c | 299.96$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dc…64febacked IlloJuan | 33c | 296.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6d…f13bbacked TheGrefg | 70c | 280.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7c…ddb4backed IlloJuan | 25c | 280.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c89…c8aabacked TheGrefg | 79c | 273.95$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked TheGrefg | 74c | 268.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b9…0226backed TheGrefg | 75c | 268.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…60bfbacked TheGrefg | 60c | 251.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…8a73backed IlloJuan | 33c | 248.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…3e8ebacked TheGrefg | 69c | 238.85$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked TheGrefg | 74c | 232.9$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4565…6549backed IlloJuan | 36c | 225.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…3274backed IlloJuan | 28c | 221.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…2289backed TheGrefg | 75c | 216.56$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked TheGrefg | 67c | 215.34$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bd…ddf8backed TheGrefg | 74c | 212.06$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f74…475dbacked IlloJuan | 22c | 210.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…c6aabacked IlloJuan | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked IlloJuan | 29c | 209.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…288dbacked IlloJuan | 25c | 207.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed IlloJuan | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed TheGrefg | 66c | 199.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed TheGrefg | 67c | 199.98$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30de…1f9dbacked TheGrefg | 71c | 193.68$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f8…88d8backed IlloJuan | 30c | 192.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…4193backed IlloJuan | 22c | 188.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…c9c0backed TheGrefg | 73c | 188.34$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed IlloJuan | 39c | 181.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…6dafbacked IlloJuan | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd915…e3f7backed IlloJuan | 29c | 175.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…7f72backed IlloJuan | 29c | 173.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…c8acbacked TheGrefg | 72c | 168.96$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed IlloJuan | 19c | 162.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…a1ffbacked TheGrefg | 71c | 162.01$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked TheGrefg | 66c | 160.25$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…50d4backed IlloJuan | 21c | 154.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be2…e4c7backed TheGrefg | 78c | 154.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…d691backed IlloJuan | 29c | 151.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…c5a0backed IlloJuan | 31c | 150.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked TheGrefg | 73c | 139.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a4…942fbacked TheGrefg | 78c | 138.56$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed IlloJuan | 29c | 136.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…2813backed TheGrefg | 74c | 135.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…99f5backed IlloJuan | 29c | 131.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked IlloJuan | 31c | 130.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…2009backed IlloJuan | 31c | 129.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…afb0backed IlloJuan | 31c | 128.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe629…7eabbacked IlloJuan | 33c | 126.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…75fabacked TheGrefg | 78c | 123.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2059backed IlloJuan | 38c | 123.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.