Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15251cc32356137e7c882980c0184d515ecbb2a24c6e070912cea9764743da7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Hereticsof SK Gaming, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54b5…2208backed SK Gaming | 36c | 7,600$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Heretics | 69c | 5,180$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.43 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9036backed Team Heretics | 65c | 4,500$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed SK Gaming | 35c | 4,218$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.41 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Heretics | 78c | 3,940$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.79 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Heretics | 64c | 3,444$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.84 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…12babacked SK Gaming | 23c | 3,260$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.38 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…bc0dbacked Team Heretics | 64c | 2,900$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3239…8da3backed SK Gaming | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.85 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed SK Gaming | 36c | 1,286$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.97 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Heretics | 64c | 1,111$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.92 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…21acbacked Team Heretics | 64c | 1,023$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.14 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…79bbbacked SK Gaming | 35c | 1,004$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.2 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SK Gaming | 44c | 758.84$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.47 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…11c0backed SK Gaming | 31c | 699.98$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.99 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Heretics | 64c | 674.03$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.65 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed SK Gaming | 37c | 666.66$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.44 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked SK Gaming | 36c | 580.8$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.28 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Heretics | 63c | 577.56$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.7 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Heretics | 60c | 490$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.57 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SK Gaming | 27c | 445.41$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.62 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed Team Heretics | 65c | 431$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.85 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…2737backed Team Heretics | 65c | 313.06$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.57 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72c…4f96backed Team Heretics | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Team Heretics | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed SK Gaming | 37c | 295.95$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked SK Gaming | 36c | 239.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Heretics | 70c | 232.31$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Heretics | 64c | 216.98$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.11 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Heretics | 68c | 215$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked SK Gaming | 21c | 196.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…b8f1backed Team Heretics | 64c | 174.29$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…502ebacked Team Heretics | 64c | 136.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked Team Heretics | 64c | 108.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked SK Gaming | 34c | 108.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…ca3abacked SK Gaming | 35c | 86.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed SK Gaming | 37c | 81.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0f…3656backed Team Heretics | 65c | 72.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed SK Gaming | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed SK Gaming | 37c | 51.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…8663backed SK Gaming | 36c | 51.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d56fbacked Team Heretics | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked SK Gaming | 36c | 49.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Team Heretics | 64c | 46.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Team Heretics | 65c | 43.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 149 | 60.4%90 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…16e6backed SK Gaming | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…d80dbacked SK Gaming | 42c | 31.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Team Heretics | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed SK Gaming | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…a74cbacked Team Heretics | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6462…ad54backed Team Heretics | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonTeam Heretics won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Heretics won
- LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam Heretics won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.