TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,561

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,392 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked No68c16,000$10,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,119.9914553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes32c15,502$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,960.4832429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked No68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.914652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x941d…0839backed Yes32c6,525$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1002416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No68c5,336$3,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.672,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed No68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.981526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No69c3,439$2,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.5511256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Yes32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No68c3,010$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.353,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9603,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No68c2,874$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.671,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x043c…f2d9backed Yes32c2,813$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c2,395$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.891,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a6…dc9fbacked Yes32c1,603$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+44.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18c4…bc41backed Yes32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003611.1%4 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-33.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No68c1,501$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.271,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No68c1,338$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.0646464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No67c1,186$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.4586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1a2…6883backed Yes32c1,150$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3685429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ce5…16f9backed Yes32c1,094$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No65c1,070$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.344,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes31c1,032$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.8414440.3%58 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+24.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df7…6e7cbacked Yes32c953.13$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd98f…5d9abacked No68c931.71$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.711723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-50.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad1c…6016backed No68c928.76$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.785766.7%38 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0936…fb00backed No68c924.41$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.818264.6%53 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No68c843.97$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.893,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes32c828.88$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.818,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25025532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31f…93cdbacked Yes32c758.41$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf0…de6dbacked Yes32c704.03$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.293333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No67c690.4$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc632…6871backed Yes37c675.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010240.2%41 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014243.7%62 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0571…78bebacked Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006627.3%18 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de6…d677backed Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007832.1%25 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8931…0627backed Yes32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+104.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9236…db6dbacked Yes32c515.63$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16516341.1%67 W · 96 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08b2…bed6backed No68c504$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.284669.6%32 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Yes30c460.65$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14019442.3%82 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No62c427.47$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.692,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd252…4058backed No68c419.99$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.46767.2%45 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe81d…16bfbacked Yes32c406.25$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13021133.2%70 W · 141 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Yes32c406.25$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Yes32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1282339.1%9 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick24cpaid+63.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No68c389.95$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7897742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef78…8a98backed Yes32c375$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9c2…9389backed Yes43c340.65$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1455819%11 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid+23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd7…7842backed Yes32c338.66$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3718436.4%67 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c29…efe5backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007315.1%11 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ba6…09eabacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011329.2%33 W · 80 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022851.8%118 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1ed…8168backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010149.5%50 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc269…7343backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003554.3%19 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+63.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f40…703fbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002737%10 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf62e…5369backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Yes10c307.06$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6410840.7%44 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…3673backed No68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966346%29 W · 34 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes33c299.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9931920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5222…f6e0backed Yes30c299.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9912144.6%54 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c7…9179backed Yes32c297.16$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.097528%21 W · 54 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No62c245.69$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.722,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5a…fa77backed Yes31c241.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75565.4%3 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-59.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c44…ce0cbacked Yes32c240.63$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774533.3%15 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Yes32c218.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7019431.4%61 W · 133 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e1…85fbbacked Yes32c218.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704438.6%17 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+44.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked No68c217$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.442576%19 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+52.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dd1…93e9backed Yes32c215.81$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f24…3a09backed No69c214.65$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.543473.5%25 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5cd4…5416backed Yes32c212.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No68c211.29$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6167447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83a…e7febacked No68c211.15$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.577468.9%51 W · 23 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x425d…98f6backed Yes32c206.25$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c39…a0bbbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No74c192.31$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5049441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe24e…350cbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012529.6%37 W · 88 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes40c187.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515446.8%72 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97a8…13a5backed Yes32c187.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015432.5%50 W · 104 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc45…14bcbacked Yes32c187.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013441.8%56 W · 78 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes32c187$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8416655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ef…239ebacked Yes31c186.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.68850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No68c181.39$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.041,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes32c181.25$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5866745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes32c173.74$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.151,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes42c171.8$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.25639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes32c161.58$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a00…4684backed No69c159.76$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.525962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Yes32c156.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0215325.5%39 W · 114 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51c7…17e4backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506227.4%17 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+93.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f7…27b7backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017638.1%67 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x461a…457abacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-65.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd25…4042backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-58.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011323%26 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5039648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5055153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9af…1794backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508235.4%29 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.