TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Boxing · resolved market

La Velada del Año 6: Samy Rivers vs RoRo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
RoRoof Samy Rivers, RoRo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,857
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,857 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x664a…fc5fbacked Samy Rivers49c7,339$3,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,570.961435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90a4…942fbacked Samy Rivers1c2,136$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-57.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked RoRo63c1,864$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.912552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd2…1236backed RoRo53c1,815$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3861…b1babacked RoRo63c1,406$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked RoRo51c1,401$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Samy Rivers48c1,107$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.411942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2525…b919backed Samy Rivers6c1,063$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.18540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked RoRo75c1,010$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.131118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-64.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Samy Rivers42c920.22$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.89119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-81.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x027a…ea13backed RoRo43c910.36$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.471457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed Samy Rivers20c883.02$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x045c…5861backed RoRo44c878.7$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbf7…afa8backed RoRo50c859.15$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.87475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Samy Rivers50c799.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9640%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Samy Rivers46c784.93$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.12540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa68d…095dbacked RoRo36c774.83$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Samy Rivers50c748.45$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Samy Rivers51c689.38$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-71.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55b9…3f67backed Samy Rivers46c673.01$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.77955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed RoRo49c638.7$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.21435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce08…c8dcbacked Samy Rivers59c629.16$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad9a…c3f4backed Samy Rivers49c614.99$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba48…907cbacked RoRo50c548.9$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x337a…8f18backed Samy Rivers56c532.99$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed RoRo53c510.47$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d1…64a7backed RoRo56c503.32$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.58757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Samy Rivers38c502.68$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.55742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Samy Rivers52c496.13$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.142352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked Samy Rivers46c486.04$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbcd…b8d2backed Samy Rivers5c460.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed RoRo65c447.93$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.67100%7 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed RoRo52c399.99$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff88…601dbacked RoRo50c396.01$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d0f…68e1backed RoRo50c367.4$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed RoRo69c354.88$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.881127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-60.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4445…1156backed Samy Rivers59c340.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed Samy Rivers8c326.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7450%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cd9…8593backed Samy Rivers56c314.97$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d5…9f76backed RoRo47c309.57$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked RoRo66c308.08$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb37a…f1b1backed RoRo42c299.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a0b…274fbacked Samy Rivers57c254.94$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Samy Rivers51c245.64$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.282240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Samy Rivers57c237.26$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-58.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b25…7a69backed Samy Rivers41c230.11$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.83911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-77.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf6d…f13bbacked RoRo56c229.99$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.89683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Samy Rivers14c217.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5260%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb491…4400backed Samy Rivers12c213.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6725…1bf9backed RoRo47c210.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.98616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76d…3e8ebacked Samy Rivers53c209.97$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.89977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda31…f8acbacked RoRo47c206.51$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.55425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0b…9cb1backed RoRo45c205.89$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.65450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4565…6549backed RoRo49c205.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x212a…2519backed RoRo50c201.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.93633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad10…c665backed Samy Rivers35c199.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed RoRo52c199.98$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.99785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+35.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Samy Rivers51c196.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd4…8473backed RoRo51c195.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Samy Rivers30c195.63$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.69850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ae…2ff5backed Samy Rivers8c188.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45a6…2d17backed Samy Rivers54c184.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Samy Rivers55c181.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…60bfbacked RoRo54c181.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef9f…1b36backed Samy Rivers57c176.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb078…289ebacked Samy Rivers60c176.14$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed RoRo25c174.76$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.071741.2%7 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb69c…48e7backed Samy Rivers57c164.7$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9146…2813backed Samy Rivers55c163.94$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-80.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Samy Rivers18c163.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.62333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8337…29b6backed Samy Rivers62c161.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4669…a7b8backed RoRo79c150$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.06520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-74.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5141…7346backed RoRo44c141.34$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.25714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d21…18d7backed RoRo71c141.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc345…8e8cbacked RoRo54c139.86$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f0…28a7backed RoRo50c134.88$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x625a…c8acbacked Samy Rivers43c132.23$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Samy Rivers46c131.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8059…f1f3backed RoRo47c130.54$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa381…2961backed RoRo45c128.23$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.23771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76a0…c273backed RoRo40c125.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.25475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f06…4c0bbacked RoRo52c125.01$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.01875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf456…3855backed RoRo47c121.48$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.48771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed RoRo47c120.46$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x614f…114dbacked RoRo51c116.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f73…667dbacked RoRo64c112.12$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.255100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c17…aac5backed Samy Rivers50c110.7$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa544…0c80backed RoRo46c107.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Samy Rivers44c107.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.772339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ab…47f6backed Samy Rivers55c105$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2553…59f7backed RoRo48c103.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30de…1f9dbacked Samy Rivers58c101.83$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa52…3607backed Samy Rivers16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcca0…3738backed Samy Rivers51c97.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked RoRo51c97.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26e3…7f72backed Samy Rivers51c97.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked RoRo48c96.51$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.51862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb610…1980backed Samy Rivers57c95.33$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0bd…ddf8backed RoRo58c93.2$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.24100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x738a…5996backed RoRo53c90$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.