TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Solary vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TLN Piratesof Solary, TLN Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,051 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e5f…0576backed Solary0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed TLN Pirates27c5,612$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,114.331,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd391…b109backed Solary80c4,852$3,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,873.6814046.4%65 W · 75 L-17.8wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed TLN Pirates69c2,803$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.126637.9%25 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed TLN Pirates17c2,340$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.272,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed TLN Pirates25c2,250$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.481,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf236…2e36backed Solary1c2,004$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.29757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.29per pick28cpaid+42.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed TLN Pirates26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.971,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Solary78c1,776$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.611,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed TLN Pirates38c1,418$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.1769041.3%285 W · 405 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5997…0beebacked Solary31c1,386$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.273745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Solary80c1,375$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10020557.1%117 W · 88 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed TLN Pirates68c1,325$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.931,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b8…149bbacked TLN Pirates22c1,151$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.339139.6%36 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed TLN Pirates23c1,131$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.147838.7%185 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac3…6ec2backed Solary74c1,098$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.3411856.8%67 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked Solary33c1,060$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.7315752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Solary39c1,024$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.542,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed Solary73c821.7$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60036452.7%192 W · 172 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Solary75c803.03$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Solary10c799.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8067115.4%103 W · 568 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fb8…5a88backed Solary65c793.87$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.6334255.6%190 W · 152 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d4b…0113backed TLN Pirates22c772.72$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.231060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+80%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b0b…5280backed Solary79c708.54$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Solary53c690.04$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.6544851.8%232 W · 216 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa26e…22e6backed Solary22c605$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.354126.8%11 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed Solary74c574.49$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.1270057.3%401 W · 299 L+36.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2eea…1a4cbacked Solary77c557.79$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.995558.2%32 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdac3…66d8backed Solary74c552.79$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.067052.9%37 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcad2…c9e4backed Solary79c506.41$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027248.9%133 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf2f…0115backed TLN Pirates22c499.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.9935656.2%200 W · 156 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ec8…1d07backed Solary59c496.46$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.7412454%67 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21a3…3e5cbacked TLN Pirates61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.87164.8%46 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7a…8238backed Solary28c487.56$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7714735.4%52 W · 95 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed Solary44c467.29$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0568942.5%293 W · 396 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7dd…bcd0backed Solary52c465.38$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.442360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked TLN Pirates38c452.19$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.3628642.7%122 W · 164 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed TLN Pirates50c451.23$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.071,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc27f…2a25backed Solary59c450$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.1796452.7%508 W · 456 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed Solary26c445$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.5523332.6%76 W · 157 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67ba…246cbacked TLN Pirates23c427.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.2726551.7%137 W · 128 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x825e…2a99backed TLN Pirates20c426.47$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.1726349%129 W · 134 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Solary59c399.99$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.582,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed TLN Pirates24c399.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.991,39943.7%612 W · 787 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked TLN Pirates27c399.21$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.4296048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe663…e9f8backed TLN Pirates26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6212552.8%66 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked TLN Pirates42c380.03$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.0566559.5%396 W · 269 L+72.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Solary12c374.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9113534.1%46 W · 89 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked Solary20c361.48$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9644846.2%207 W · 241 L+1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e24…4fabbacked Solary61c341.28$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2733857.7%195 W · 143 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked TLN Pirates28c314$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.0854934.8%191 W · 358 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8d0…f87ebacked TLN Pirates16c312.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.539940.4%161 W · 238 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Solary72c309$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.481,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Solary74c305$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.742851.2%219 W · 209 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed TLN Pirates22c303$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.73,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0b3…b220backed TLN Pirates40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18035850.8%182 W · 176 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Solary63c298.82$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.291,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed TLN Pirates66c295.93$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0677746.2%359 W · 418 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9473…cba4backed Solary30c290$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7853545.2%242 W · 293 L+0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5819…2b4fbacked TLN Pirates20c261.6$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.2850550.7%256 W · 249 L+34.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Solary58c257.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.372,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked TLN Pirates24c234.58$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.311,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Solary25c234$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.52,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1df3…9ac3backed TLN Pirates41c221.98$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2942055%231 W · 189 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked TLN Pirates46c215.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5199747.1%470 W · 527 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Solary73c207.68$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.611,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x811a…9a3cbacked Solary75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010252%53 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc6…4593backed TLN Pirates15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17027946.2%129 W · 150 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Solary21c199.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd99b…50bebacked TLN Pirates37c197.26$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.286848.5%33 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Solary21c188$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6434448.3%166 W · 178 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b3…de25backed Solary42c176.9$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757341.1%30 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Solary51c172.62$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.381,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Solary45c168.35$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.011,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Solary72c142.49$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3194444.4%419 W · 525 L-31.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x382c…2261backed Solary68c131.9$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9013350.4%67 W · 66 L-14.8wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe7ff…3506backed TLN Pirates22c127.27$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2733738%128 W · 209 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0587…c40bbacked Solary33c123$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5915446.8%72 W · 82 L+16.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x89ca…e129backed Solary50c122.45$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.627568%51 W · 24 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x755f…2cffbacked Solary62c120$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.425162.9%158 W · 93 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Solary44c119.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5838439.8%153 W · 231 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Solary78c110.6$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.271,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a29…8cc4backed TLN Pirates20c110.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2441151.1%210 W · 201 L+19.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked TLN Pirates26c110.15$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.997037.1%26 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Solary77c104.17$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020552.7%108 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed TLN Pirates21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3321953.4%117 W · 102 L+14.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Solary10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1077741.7%324 W · 453 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35b7…fbcfbacked TLN Pirates26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7427367%183 W · 90 L+26.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed TLN Pirates75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2548951.5%252 W · 237 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3020…df2bbacked Solary78c96.46$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.044062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+33.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf402…4c5abacked Solary76c87.28$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3315159.6%90 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Solary60c85.49$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5425965.3%169 W · 90 L+23.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Solary49c83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.672,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48f3…a1a4backed TLN Pirates26c76.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9410040%40 W · 60 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed TLN Pirates25c75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.51,05746.1%487 W · 570 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec7…8c25backed TLN Pirates40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4630…35c7backed TLN Pirates42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4312151.2%62 W · 59 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b39…8b50backed Solary29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044850.7%227 W · 221 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Solary73c62.3$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4844745.2%202 W · 245 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5452…d12ebacked Solary63c61.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8510265.7%67 W · 35 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.