TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,043
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,043 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over67c793.74$534 inWon+$259.948,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under49c590.84$290 inLost-$289.5185851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under50c499.99$250 inLost-$25023251.7%120 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over51c266.2$136 inWon+$130.441,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Under30c231.18$69 inLost-$69.4240163.3%254 W · 147 L+57.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0c05…fabfbacked Under46c212.58$98 inLost-$98.177078.6%55 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+18.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over50c200$100 inWon+$10056240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under31c200$62 inLost-$6221846.8%102 W · 116 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+61.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over69c189.07$130 inWon+$58.6165737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8089…7a15backed Over54c150$81 inWon+$69742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b28…7f1bbacked Over50c100.2$50 inWon+$50.214042.1%59 W · 81 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde6d…b6f2backed Over50c99.88$50 inWon+$49.881643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under47c97.44$46 inLost-$45.543,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over51c90.32$46 inWon+$44.262,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under22c68.6$15 inLost-$14.82,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7412…97a3backed Under33c50$16 inLost-$16.55141.2%21 W · 30 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadae…bc30backed Over71c49.44$35 inWon+$14.442564%16 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fe2…d350backed Over50c40$20 inWon+$201560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon+$19.2228850.3%145 W · 143 L-0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5dd…a04ebacked Over52c38.46$20 inWon+$18.461872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa31c…1215backed Over69c36.46$25 inWon+$11.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e2…11d1backed Over53c30$16 inWon+$14.11136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cc7…164ebacked Over41c25.86$11 inWon+$15.26785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+69.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe91…483abacked Over50c20$10 inWon+$103842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.