Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Take First Corner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff496ebee782d750b3d657605a2450f3a363885724a92d8808a2e5e2bc62b26d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Egyptof Argentina, Egypt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Argentina | 11c | 2,095$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.21 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Egypt | 36c | 1,379$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Argentina | 64c | 607.63$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.88 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Argentina | 62c | 499.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Argentina | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Argentina | 3c | 350.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 99 | 10.1%10 W · 89 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Egypt | 29c | 281.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.58 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x157c…cbc8backed Egypt | 38c | 263.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.65 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Argentina | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Egypt | 34c | 243.03$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.4 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Egypt | 45c | 239.46$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.19 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…e028backed Argentina | 64c | 171.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Argentina | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…6bf8backed Argentina | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…b5dfbacked Argentina | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…4c7abacked Argentina | 66c | 152.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9067…8cf5backed Argentina | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Argentina | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Egypt | 35c | 130.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Egypt | 36c | 107.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…a12bbacked Egypt | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Argentina | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Argentina | 64c | 73.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…23b3backed Argentina | 63c | 59.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Argentina | 62c | 53.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…a638backed Egypt | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Egypt | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…ea0dbacked Argentina | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…478bbacked Argentina | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ef…ae3bbacked Argentina | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6601backed Argentina | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b4…b89dbacked Argentina | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Take First Cornerthis page
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.