Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb767db6f67fefde69bb9476855f0eea9af6b63229a67183e59ae15d8aa1b07dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 58c | 1,128$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.03 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 57c | 616.93$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.28 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 55c | 523.4$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.53 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Over | 40c | 509$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.6 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 439.92$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 58c | 313.53$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 42c | 274.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.12 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f9…4259backed Over | 41c | 242.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 39c | 199.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…5922backed Under | 58c | 194.51$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8855…83adbacked Over | 45c | 189.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 63c | 175.68$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5a…1179backed Over | 54c | 174.81$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 46c | 155.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 56c | 144.44$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…7901backed Under | 58c | 128.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b28…7f1bbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Over | 43c | 111.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 64c | 107.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 58c | 106.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.49 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…da2fbacked Under | 59c | 101.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…fb9dbacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…a04cbacked Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 266 | 46.2%123 W · 143 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 38c | 71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 241 | 48.1%116 W · 125 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 40c | 70.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…7c89backed Under | 45c | 63.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 60c | 60.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…c5f9backed Over | 55c | 54.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…6c81backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 51.9%140 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d89…dc09backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2910…d76cbacked Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…ff8bbacked Under | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe775…cc4dbacked Over | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dce…dcc3backed Under | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00f…84f1backed Over | 54c | 36.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa54…a251backed Under | 59c | 34.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 216 | 54.6%118 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd511…aa30backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31c…e5a1backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5492…d420backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Over | 36c | 31.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9969…ef00backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 41c | 27.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7488…9cfbbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…2ba3backed Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 60c | 23.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Under | 63c | 21.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Take First CornerEgypt won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.