Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d52cbd9b7c8ec776c48a78eb2cf539aad943ac5c079dbc71fcd3bb70b582052
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad1c…7c56backed Over | 17c | 1,168$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.11 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…0381backed Over | 14c | 1,110$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.34 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Over | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 254 | 45.3%115 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…464ebacked Over | 13c | 720.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Over | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 11c | 360.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…b9cdbacked Over | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…eef9backed Over | 15c | 329.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb6…223cbacked Over | 6c | 327.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…9c89backed Over | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee7f…506fbacked Over | 15c | 256$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…7138backed Over | 8c | 251.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9f…bb16backed Over | 12c | 210.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Over | 14c | 205.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…e302backed Over | 14c | 205$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 301 | 37.2%112 W · 189 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…009bbacked Over | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…c5d6backed Over | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over | 14c | 143.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 14c | 139.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea45…90a8backed Over | 13c | 137.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cd…8e7dbacked Over | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7b…f37fbacked Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Take First CornerEgypt won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.