Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x991a6b3f1852cb4bc69285adc8457f832382be6216a00a5f4771dae7d5813d86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc85c…5005backed Over | 36c | 5,588$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Over | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c05…fabfbacked Under | 64c | 2,236$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.44 | 70 | 78.6%55 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 37c | 1,879$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.74 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…1939backed Over | 5c | 1,765$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.26 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Under | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…e665backed Under | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 64c | 750$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 64c | 664.74$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.76 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 64c | 650.75$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.2 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 64c | 620.59$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.41 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae7d…058fbacked Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 480.67$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.25 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Under | 64c | 421.04$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.58 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 41c | 406.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.53 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x227a…9212backed Under | 64c | 375$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…e761backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Over | 40c | 185.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.47 | 119 | 63%75 W · 44 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…b6f2backed Over | 37c | 155$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…d9f9backed Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…2f32backed Under | 59c | 101.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 64c | 94.63$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 57c | 93.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Under | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 21c | 85.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…4be2backed Under | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f79…69cabacked Under | 64c | 74.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2f…2aaebacked Over | 49c | 61.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…c4eabacked Over | 50c | 60.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa882…e517backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…87c9backed Over | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 38c | 45.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Under | 61c | 44.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed Over | 36c | 44.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…5ce9backed Under | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…dec0backed Over | 40c | 33.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9447…c171backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74a…25a2backed Under | 45c | 28.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ee…c9cdbacked Under | 65c | 20.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd097…93d0backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Take First CornerEgypt won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.