Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd209f46307d14b47404b5213d676396a4e61d6d7bca7143725f239a7c1e89c43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Under | 75c | 2,224$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.89 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…f9d9backed Over | 25c | 1,381$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.19 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 24c | 1,114$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.36 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 23c | 846.19$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.62 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…708dbacked Under | 77c | 681.76$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.1 | 93 | 72%67 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 75c | 418.31$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 25c | 358.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…980bbacked Under | 75c | 358.55$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.94 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…1e09backed Under | 77c | 295.51$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Over | 29c | 213.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c4…0f96backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…8e3fbacked Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 24c | 125.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…bf6bbacked Under | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…b9cdbacked Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 76c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…7eb1backed Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223b…971cbacked Over | 24c | 55.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa54…a251backed Under | 77c | 54.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 216 | 54.6%118 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb80…082fbacked Over | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd00f…84f1backed Over | 48c | 31.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…0786backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…ff8bbacked Under | 52c | 25.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Take First CornerEgypt won
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.