CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Just Players - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb7524e22ca743fbc59175361ea1aca1cd965c00a95a9d131fd5a6aeec9dd6ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked SPARTA | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b27…d405backed Just Players | 27c | 2,771$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Just Players | 32c | 1,700$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.98 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed SPARTA | 61c | 940.86$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.96 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Just Players | 17c | 933.57$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.87 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed Just Players | 19c | 882.21$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.78 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Just Players | 26c | 755.69$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.17 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…0038backed SPARTA | 45c | 669.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.14 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Just Players | 33c | 554.47$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.39 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…d5debacked Just Players | 41c | 490$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.9 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked SPARTA | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Just Players | 18c | 298.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…1c02backed SPARTA | 71c | 293.81$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked SPARTA | 58c | 226.36$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed SPARTA | 58c | 224.55$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed SPARTA | 40c | 219.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.75 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed SPARTA | 53c | 188.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked SPARTA | 74c | 151.77$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Just Players | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Just Players | 52c | 142.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked SPARTA | 61c | 134.15$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…3342backed Just Players | 29c | 128.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SPARTA | 59c | 110.21$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Just Players | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…dd9abacked SPARTA | 68c | 90.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Just Players | 42c | 89.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed SPARTA | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Just Players | 62c | 79.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Just Players | 37c | 79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Just Players | 45c | 77.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Just Players | 39c | 71.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Just Players | 45c | 61.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Just Players | 58c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614a…6d3fbacked SPARTA | 73c | 37.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked SPARTA | 65c | 29.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd674…1351backed SPARTA | 74c | 24.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Just Players | 45c | 22.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd87a…540dbacked SPARTA | 63c | 18.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed SPARTA | 61c | 17.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed SPARTA | 68c | 15.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Just Players - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Just Players (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Just Players - Map 1 WinnerJust Players won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Just Players (+1.5)Just Players won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.