Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b37d0bb7c76a13566f1a7ef268e7ed6ddb0bc223f45ab70287abc5cb1840ca4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KWof Team Lynx, KW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Lynx | 39c | 9,218$3,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,573.36 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked KW | 52c | 7,797$4,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,775.92 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked KW | 55c | 3,762$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.24 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…ac6abacked KW | 75c | 3,364$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.62 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed KW | 46c | 2,804$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.23 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Lynx | 52c | 2,507$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.16 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Lynx | 55c | 1,978$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.15 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Team Lynx | 56c | 1,843$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.95 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…e588backed KW | 78c | 1,800$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.43 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked KW | 23c | 1,700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.59 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed KW | 52c | 1,600$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.99 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Team Lynx | 2c | 1,447$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Team Lynx | 18c | 1,355$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.91 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx | 56c | 1,176$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.13 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Lynx | 50c | 1,042$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.52 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Lynx | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Team Lynx | 48c | 954.17$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team Lynx | 41c | 933.16$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.99 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed KW | 41c | 888.02$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.13 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Team Lynx | 53c | 843.04$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed KW | 20c | 837.2$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.6 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked KW | 50c | 771.53$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.49 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Team Lynx | 16c | 724$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked KW | 54c | 702.5$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.37 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Team Lynx | 76c | 702.14$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.63 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Team Lynx | 26c | 700$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.8 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Lynx | 52c | 700$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.38 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453e…eabcbacked Team Lynx | 56c | 672.73$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.73 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed KW | 53c | 653.25$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.42 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked KW | 46c | 625.16$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.16 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Lynx | 69c | 576.26$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.07 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Lynx | 38c | 570.98$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.12 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Team Lynx | 11c | 542.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Team Lynx | 21c | 509.95$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Team Lynx | 52c | 469.81$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.16 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Lynx | 54c | 447.82$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.37 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Team Lynx | 11c | 443.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed KW | 29c | 430.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.13 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Lynx | 48c | 426.66$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Lynx | 73c | 403.46$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.44 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…ad6ebacked KW | 67c | 400$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Lynx | 34c | 392.14$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Lynx | 52c | 389.19$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.12 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Team Lynx | 26c | 365.37$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed KW | 44c | 357.42$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.22 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked KW | 55c | 346.04$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.75 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Team Lynx | 44c | 341.73$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.01 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Team Lynx | 10c | 339.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked KW | 41c | 324.1$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.78 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c0e6backed Team Lynx | 72c | 317.62$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 222 | 59%131 W · 91 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Team Lynx | 31c | 314.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.06 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Team Lynx | 15c | 312.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…90b2backed Team Lynx | 15c | 312.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Lynx | 73c | 306.62$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.83 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Team Lynx | 48c | 299.58$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed Team Lynx | 15c | 260.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked KW | 46c | 260.52$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Team Lynx | 59c | 252.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked KW | 45c | 222.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Team Lynx | 53c | 217.03$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…57c6backed Team Lynx | 18c | 212.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Team Lynx | 47c | 212.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Team Lynx | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed KW | 67c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Lynx | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Lynx | 51c | 199.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed KW | 56c | 196.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked KW | 50c | 187.49$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Lynx | 33c | 187$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd788…5f8ebacked Team Lynx | 53c | 186.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Lynx | 54c | 182.4$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…f884backed KW | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed KW | 57c | 174.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Lynx | 58c | 164.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Team Lynx | 17c | 164.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked KW | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Team Lynx | 66c | 151.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Lynx | 61c | 140.66$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.61 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…d5debacked KW | 37c | 140$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Team Lynx | 53c | 138.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…2549backed KW | 47c | 138.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Team Lynx | 48c | 132$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d9…fa69backed Team Lynx | 51c | 126.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Team Lynx | 31c | 126.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Lynx | 48c | 125.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Team Lynx | 23c | 124$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Lynx | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Team Lynx | 11c | 108.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…5f8fbacked Team Lynx | 59c | 104.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Team Lynx | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Team Lynx | 58c | 101.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24b…5142backed KW | 54c | 101.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Lynx | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed KW | 71c | 99.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…0ac2backed KW | 65c | 99.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Team Lynx | 37c | 99.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Team Lynx | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Team Lynx | 46c | 87.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Team Lynx | 48c | 85.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked KW | 73c | 85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group ATeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW - Game 2 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.