Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cd28d3de905a18ce488567974999d5d1a8f6ccefd33d1c3cd2e8ba51761ba0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Team Lynx, KW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Lynx | 53c | 8,077$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.12 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Lynx | 49c | 5,500$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.85 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KW | 56c | 3,354$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.13 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked KW | 54c | 2,898$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.21 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked KW | 48c | 2,145$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.32 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked KW | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Team Lynx | 26c | 1,693$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.24 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed KW | 75c | 1,438$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.57 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked KW | 57c | 1,240$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.7 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed KW | 54c | 1,039$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.28 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Team Lynx | 46c | 1,019$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.48 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed KW | 62c | 937.73$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.45 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213a…8172backed Team Lynx | 51c | 855.72$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked KW | 57c | 810.01$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked KW | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked KW | 51c | 794.46$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.71 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Team Lynx | 38c | 782.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.52 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Lynx | 51c | 713.66$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KW | 47c | 676.52$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.63 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked KW | 51c | 652.94$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked Team Lynx | 79c | 571.51$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked KW | 49c | 537.58$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.41 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Team Lynx | 68c | 507.71$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.91 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed KW | 47c | 500$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.34 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453e…eabcbacked Team Lynx | 53c | 500$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed KW | 51c | 489.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked KW | 8c | 441.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Lynx | 41c | 409.95$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Lynx | 50c | 394.45$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.89 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c0e6backed KW | 65c | 391.87$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 222 | 59%131 W · 91 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed KW | 57c | 365.24$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Team Lynx | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked KW | 53c | 340.2$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Team Lynx | 28c | 339.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.89 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked KW | 45c | 332.63$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.84 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked KW | 49c | 306.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Lynx | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…1b0abacked KW | 50c | 293$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Team Lynx | 39c | 290.27$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.49 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx | 39c | 275.62$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.23 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked KW | 57c | 268.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Lynx | 57c | 264.69$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.1 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed Team Lynx | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Team Lynx | 52c | 248.41$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked KW | 41c | 208$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked KW | 41c | 208$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…ad6ebacked KW | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…d360backed KW | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed KW | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked KW | 56c | 199.18$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.13 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Lynx | 51c | 198.44$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.52 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Team Lynx | 70c | 196.91$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed KW | 41c | 180$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Team Lynx | 47c | 172.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked KW | 52c | 155.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…d485backed KW | 41c | 152.21$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed KW | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed Team Lynx | 51c | 128.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KW | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked KW | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…3a70backed KW | 54c | 119.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked KW | 52c | 119.48$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed KW | 41c | 105$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KW | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed KW | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd788…5f8ebacked Team Lynx | 52c | 96.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Team Lynx | 41c | 93.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Lynx | 46c | 92.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed KW | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed KW | 59c | 87.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Team Lynx | 47c | 80.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Team Lynx | 45c | 78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed KW | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 62.1%146 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked KW | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked KW | 50c | 74.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed KW | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Team Lynx | 52c | 73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Team Lynx | 57c | 68.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99c…3f0abacked KW | 56c | 66.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KW | 61c | 64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed KW | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Lynx | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KW | 49c | 59.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868d…78c9backed KW | 63c | 53.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Team Lynx | 75c | 53.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Lynx | 49c | 51.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed KW | 43c | 48.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked KW | 52c | 48.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Lynx | 40c | 47.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Team Lynx | 50c | 44.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed KW | 66c | 41.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed KW | 71c | 40.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Team Lynx | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Team Lynx | 54c | 40.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Team Lynx | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 268 | 48.9%131 W · 137 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked KW | 39c | 38.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed KW | 53c | 37.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed KW | 31c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Team Lynx | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Team Lynx | 79c | 35.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group ATeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW - Game 1 WinnerKW won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.