Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa32e4873b6663e0da3b943bb82942fff610bb00a3c0b6dfb61dc13352af17e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Team Lynx, KW
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32a9…fc3fbacked KW | 0c | 9,900$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked KW | 27c | 8,031$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.58 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KW | 52c | 3,090$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.23 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Team Lynx | 54c | 2,706$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.69 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Team Lynx | 26c | 2,036$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.58 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Lynx | 65c | 1,971$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.36 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x213a…8172backed KW | 42c | 1,829$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed KW | 45c | 1,828$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.49 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Lynx | 60c | 1,800$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.25 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Lynx | 67c | 1,777$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.41 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Lynx | 47c | 1,600$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.03 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed Team Lynx | 48c | 1,441$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked KW | 59c | 1,197$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.93 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked KW | 53c | 1,125$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.31 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed KW | 50c | 991.88$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed KW | 54c | 931.62$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked Team Lynx | 57c | 834.96$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.99 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked KW | 51c | 796.79$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.87 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx | 53c | 719.25$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.85 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked KW | 27c | 705.54$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.71 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed KW | 52c | 699.92$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.21 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KW | 28c | 683.36$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.32 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed KW | 4c | 643.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked KW | 49c | 629.07$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.95 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Team Lynx | 43c | 600$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.8 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2748…d345backed KW | 38c | 599.67$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc2…c4d0backed KW | 51c | 588.13$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Lynx | 58c | 570.75$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.16 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Lynx | 53c | 550.04$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.52 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed KW | 52c | 516.47$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.55 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Lynx | 35c | 493.29$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.6 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked KW | 55c | 476$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.84 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed KW | 47c | 447.46$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.44 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Team Lynx | 69c | 447.25$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked Team Lynx | 71c | 402.63$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked KW | 35c | 400.35$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.34 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked KW | 53c | 400$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.69 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…57c6backed Team Lynx | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabd3…6635backed Team Lynx | 55c | 395.25$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Team Lynx | 48c | 375$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.25 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Team Lynx | 48c | 375$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.25 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed KW | 48c | 367.79$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.51 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Team Lynx | 51c | 347.91$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.45 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Team Lynx | 76c | 324.62$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.91 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Team Lynx | 53c | 324.52$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.54 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked KW | 47c | 317.21$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked KW | 21c | 298.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed KW | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.28 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a66…fa83backed KW | 49c | 277.71$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3994…ff63backed Team Lynx | 15c | 275.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed KW | 61c | 274.08$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.86 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Team Lynx | 48c | 273.43$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.18 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Team Lynx | 41c | 262.06$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.63 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked KW | 59c | 255.23$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.57 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked KW | 8c | 251.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Team Lynx | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed KW | 50c | 244.7$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed KW | 49c | 242.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Lynx | 63c | 231.24$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.63 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…0ac2backed Team Lynx | 36c | 228.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Team Lynx | 34c | 226.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.34 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Team Lynx | 72c | 224.34$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Team Lynx | 52c | 216.55$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Team Lynx | 47c | 212.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.98 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e4…b74dbacked Team Lynx | 53c | 208.55$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked KW | 48c | 208.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed KW | 67c | 206.18$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked KW | 49c | 202.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…ad6ebacked Team Lynx | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Team Lynx | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed KW | 74c | 200$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.71 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8e…e61bbacked Team Lynx | 51c | 195.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed KW | 49c | 182.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.01 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Team Lynx | 52c | 173.37$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed KW | 49c | 172.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed KW | 44c | 163.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Team Lynx | 55c | 157.85$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Team Lynx | 51c | 156$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed KW | 20c | 154$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KW | 63c | 144.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed KW | 48c | 144.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Lynx | 52c | 144.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked KW | 50c | 142$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed KW | 58c | 138.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Team Lynx | 53c | 135.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Lynx | 53c | 127.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Team Lynx | 73c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed KW | 59c | 123.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Lynx | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed KW | 61c | 115.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked KW | 55c | 109.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014d…d02cbacked Team Lynx | 44c | 109.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…8a03backed Team Lynx | 28c | 109.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed KW | 11c | 106$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Team Lynx | 55c | 100.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked KW | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked KW | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KW | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Team Lynx | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Team Lynx | 53c | 99.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW - Game 1 WinnerKW won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW - Game 2 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.