TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ALKAof Imperial, ALKA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,706
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,818

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,706 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked ALKA35c18,155$6,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,747.4175652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Imperial64c7,861$5,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,013.7866851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Imperial66c4,076$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,689.991,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial66c3,535$2,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,325.835,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41d1…bac0backed Imperial64c2,188$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4006250%31 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed Imperial55c1,800$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9921953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked ALKA37c1,666$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.5817954.2%97 W · 82 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Imperial64c1,190$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.661,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Imperial60c1,052$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.8175245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked ALKA45c877.81$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4834837.5%18 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked ALKA41c713.84$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.0120755.1%114 W · 93 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Imperial64c634.91$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.342,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked Imperial68c599.98$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.9830349.8%151 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ALKA40c542.64$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.777,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Imperial64c532.58$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34021263.7%135 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked ALKA50c500.3$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.482,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ALKA37c475$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.255,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked ALKA42c420$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.963,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Imperial63c413.83$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.6632344.3%143 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Imperial64c400$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25637557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Imperial45c323.1$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.69339.8%37 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…a142backed ALKA34c289.17$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.915244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked ALKA39c257.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.087857.7%45 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked ALKA37c245.4$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5942255.7%235 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe40a…76fabacked ALKA34c236.64$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.642552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0d4…0289backed ALKA45c222.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4617546.3%81 W · 94 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed ALKA40c219.7$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.444,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Imperial60c215.55$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3416641%68 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Imperial63c183.28$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4659755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked ALKA28c160.2$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.42850%14 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Imperial64c160$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.448242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Imperial64c156.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.311241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed ALKA35c139.85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6260451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked ALKA22c122.7$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3517955.3%99 W · 80 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Imperial56c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.72,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Imperial62c119.34$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.992,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked ALKA33c112.52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9639338.2%150 W · 243 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed ALKA41c112$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0210844.4%48 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcece…ffeebacked ALKA35c108$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.211844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Imperial64c108$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1212259%72 W · 50 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked ALKA30c107.8$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.838844.3%172 W · 216 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed ALKA10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903732.4%12 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f25…d5debacked Imperial61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Imperial63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6361948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Imperial63c99.94$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9665946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed ALKA75c96.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.532544.3%144 W · 181 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1273…8eddbacked ALKA38c93.75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1320957.4%120 W · 89 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Imperial65c88.8$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3761054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked ALKA37c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.414742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0851…06d3backed ALKA37c76.05$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.914100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+111.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57e6…9622backed ALKA37c76$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8814356.6%81 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed Imperial68c70.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9926346.4%122 W · 141 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf4…8c98backed Imperial64c69.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.585259.6%31 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d7…a1ffbacked ALKA36c69.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5827746.2%128 W · 149 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked ALKA42c68.19$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.256749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Imperial66c65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.965548.9%320 W · 335 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Imperial63c63.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3216550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cae…3342backed Imperial64c62.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404872.9%35 W · 13 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbf7…c485backed ALKA37c62.16$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.163253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ALKA35c61.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.291,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed ALKA34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8211960.5%72 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed ALKA34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8229752.2%155 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked Imperial63c58.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3728454.9%156 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked ALKA40c55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7523156.3%130 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked ALKA41c54.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.867042.9%30 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf4…0e3dbacked Imperial59c53.54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.486043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Imperial62c48.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.391648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked ALKA34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1214068.6%96 W · 44 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb627…d968backed ALKA37c40.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2818663.4%118 W · 68 L+14.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc735…54b3backed Imperial64c39.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed ALKA33c36.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.56747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf17d…6f86backed ALKA37c34.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.662035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x061e…8f24backed ALKA36c33.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.082454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed ALKA38c33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4639840.5%161 W · 237 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Imperial62c31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2252449%257 W · 267 L-27.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed Imperial64c25.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.319453.6%104 W · 90 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe34c…ca55backed Imperial64c25.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.258035%28 W · 52 L-13.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-38.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Imperial63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Imperial64c19.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1911250%56 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Imperial64c18.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221052.4%110 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25dd…0034backed Imperial69c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.032832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-43.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Imperial63c15.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.062,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Imperial68c15.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.385054.4%462 W · 388 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.