CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4ae2ab742720eef8642eb84f06155b87aac5fe64e3ab99cc292362e5af876e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 74c | 6,771$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.4 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 26c | 1,141$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.31 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 73c | 1,027$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.69 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed Over | 26c | 1,015$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 26c | 935.73$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.8 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 28c | 875.48$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.32 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 74c | 821.89$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.78 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Over | 25c | 641.78$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.49 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Over | 69c | 563.08$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.44 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Over | 26c | 531.92$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.62 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 26c | 391.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.22 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Over | 27c | 375.93$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.43 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 28c | 356.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.07 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 26c | 349.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.18 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 74c | 346.46$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.12 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 27c | 300$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.33 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 26c | 270.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.55 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Over | 26c | 214.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.08 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 26c | 214.94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.06 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Over | 26c | 206.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Over | 24c | 199.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.64 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Over | 26c | 186.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.31 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 74c | 179.44$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.31 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Over | 26c | 173.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.08 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Over | 29c | 172$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.12 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 27c | 167.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.59 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 66c | 150.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed Over | 27c | 142$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.66 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 74c | 140.66$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 140 | 68.6%96 W · 44 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 75c | 140.59$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 24c | 135$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Over | 26c | 132.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Over | 27c | 114.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over | 26c | 114$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…6edfbacked Over | 26c | 110.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 43c | 108.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Over | 28c | 100.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 28c | 91.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 36c | 87.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Under | 73c | 83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 26c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 30c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 68c | 75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Under | 74c | 69.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 65c | 68.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…0852backed Over | 26c | 55.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 75c | 49.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 29c | 38.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 75c | 32.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Under | 67c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerALKA won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)ALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.