CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66e3d13b8fd46aa965126f56fa43205c901759d55a4f87888024679eecf15254
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked ALKA | 35c | 7,848$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.88 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Imperial | 54c | 2,105$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.44 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Imperial | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed ALKA | 36c | 1,409$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.5 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Imperial | 68c | 1,171$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.64 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed ALKA | 37c | 1,114$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.32 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked ALKA | 47c | 1,044$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked ALKA | 35c | 946.49$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.44 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Imperial | 63c | 834.16$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.91 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Imperial | 80c | 783.53$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.94 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ALKA | 22c | 580.54$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ALKA | 19c | 500$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ALKA | 29c | 482.28$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.68 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked ALKA | 28c | 422.9$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Imperial | 71c | 303.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Imperial | 75c | 300$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ALKA | 19c | 283.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ALKA | 13c | 273.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Imperial | 65c | 262.71$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Imperial | 69c | 261.67$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed ALKA | 20c | 250$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Imperial | 70c | 220.46$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed ALKA | 20c | 206.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Imperial | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…c546backed Imperial | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Imperial | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed ALKA | 19c | 181.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc4…4ef0backed ALKA | 29c | 168.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1407…e56cbacked Imperial | 42c | 129.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked ALKA | 19c | 126.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Imperial | 63c | 118.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Imperial | 60c | 117.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Imperial | 65c | 117.44$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Imperial | 68c | 102.54$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked ALKA | 43c | 93.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Imperial | 53c | 92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…76fabacked Imperial | 80c | 90.74$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ALKA | 29c | 90.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ALKA | 15c | 89.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed ALKA | 36c | 86.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ALKA | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ALKA | 22c | 79.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Imperial | 57c | 78.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Imperial | 71c | 68.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked Imperial | 55c | 62.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…1a33backed ALKA | 29c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Imperial | 62c | 53.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed ALKA | 32c | 52.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked ALKA | 21c | 51.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Imperial | 74c | 49.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed ALKA | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ALKA | 39c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked ALKA | 25c | 42.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -7.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Imperial | 42c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…d118backed Imperial | 77c | 35.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 44 | 86.4%38 W · 6 L | +7.4wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Imperial | 77c | 32.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Imperial | 64c | 23.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Imperial | 76c | 22.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Imperial | 60c | 21.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Imperial | 59c | 19.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed Imperial | 64c | 17.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerALKA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)ALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.