CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5409dc94b4755f76123216b9cda40eb5ecb5b6eae26e04d3c3f554f4d29a723a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof Imperial, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked ALKA | 67c | 2,732$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.08 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Imperial | 64c | 2,622$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.11 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Imperial | 67c | 1,499$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…6001backed ALKA | 76c | 1,314$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.87 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed Imperial | 40c | 1,308$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.2 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc4…4ef0backed Imperial | 2c | 1,021$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Imperial | 59c | 843.66$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.7 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed ALKA | 60c | 827.81$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Imperial | 9c | 794.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ALKA | 38c | 712.31$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.73 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ALKA | 31c | 589.79$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.81 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ALKA | 63c | 530.97$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.28 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Imperial | 19c | 482.12$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Imperial | 59c | 479.99$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ALKA | 45c | 452.88$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.19 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed ALKA | 63c | 438.81$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.39 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Imperial | 16c | 274$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Imperial | 33c | 260.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked ALKA | 19c | 250$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Imperial | 16c | 211.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ALKA | 31c | 186$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed ALKA | 64c | 155.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked ALKA | 77c | 143.38$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed ALKA | 66c | 140$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed ALKA | 49c | 138.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.83 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…9ddcbacked ALKA | 62c | 128.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -13.4wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa955…7487backed ALKA | 36c | 116.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 28cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Imperial | 52c | 105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked ALKA | 21c | 102.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed ALKA | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Imperial | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Imperial | 80c | 91.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Imperial | 63c | 79.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Imperial | 23c | 78.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed ALKA | 44c | 76.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked ALKA | 30c | 75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ALKA | 19c | 75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Imperial | 35c | 69.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…0e3dbacked Imperial | 56c | 60.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Imperial | 59c | 60.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Imperial | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked ALKA | 63c | 48.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Imperial | 49c | 48.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Imperial | 56c | 47.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked ALKA | 75c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d4…ff90backed Imperial | 40c | 35.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked Imperial | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed ALKA | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…d118backed ALKA | 54c | 25.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 44 | 86.4%38 W · 6 L | +7.4wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…7a08backed ALKA | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed ALKA | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…0985backed ALKA | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ALKA | 64c | 21.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Imperial | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d8…c931backed Imperial | 60c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)ALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.