TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GenOneof ex-RUBY, GenOne
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,256 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY57c25,963$14,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,757.75,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked GenOne43c20,382$8,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,617.9875652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked GenOne43c15,688$6,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,942.136454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUBY56c8,851$4,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,962.852,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked GenOne49c6,313$3,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,233.993,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed GenOne45c5,170$2,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.311633.6%39 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed GenOne48c3,552$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.123356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked GenOne47c3,400$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.1463157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0d8…8eafbacked ex-RUBY57c3,063$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.934768.1%32 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked GenOne64c2,114$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.0643152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked ex-RUBY57c2,105$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20014659.6%87 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed GenOne43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1407751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed GenOne43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.991,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddc…c874backed ex-RUBY57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4176…1ddcbacked ex-RUBY57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed GenOne44c1,650$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.991,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c13…71a1backed ex-RUBY56c1,621$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked ex-RUBY47c1,557$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.0818444%81 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed ex-RUBY49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.9835953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed ex-RUBY57c1,416$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80719061.6%117 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed ex-RUBY57c1,370$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.8646555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed GenOne42c1,319$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.4751942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed ex-RUBY32c1,300$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.9955941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed GenOne43c1,243$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71380942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd544…4994backed ex-RUBY54c1,226$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.962450%12 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed GenOne51c1,200$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58752150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed ex-RUBY55c1,200$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9921953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed GenOne43c1,199$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.1538841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed ex-RUBY54c1,198$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.9243455.1%239 W · 195 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed GenOne44c1,157$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.2935153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed ex-RUBY57c1,139$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.51,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-RUBY49c997.23$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.282,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed ex-RUBY57c892.86$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.9359755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69f2…a80dbacked ex-RUBY57c740$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.810262.7%64 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0890…c657backed GenOne44c716.61$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.32744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1de4…22e9backed ex-RUBY60c697.62$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3783…0038backed GenOne30c662.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.517638.2%29 W · 47 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked ex-RUBY57c661.4$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3771,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed ex-RUBY49c646.99$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.022,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUBY33c629.15$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.835,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed ex-RUBY57c614.41$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.8531761.2%194 W · 123 L+22.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed ex-RUBY63c571.71$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.742,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc818…1da3backed ex-RUBY54c556.93$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008925.8%23 W · 66 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUBY56c551.18$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.553,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed GenOne44c541.35$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.7961154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed GenOne44c540.6$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.1237848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked ex-RUBY58c521.36$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019357%110 W · 83 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e5…60babacked ex-RUBY58c521.02$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006965.2%45 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked GenOne44c518.95$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.6110454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed GenOne48c514$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.781,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x5b88…16e6backed GenOne80c502.84$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8415823.4%37 W · 121 L-18.0wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-44.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked ex-RUBY56c479.47$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.761,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked ex-RUBY51c467.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1314853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked ex-RUBY57c440$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.825944.8%116 W · 143 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed ex-RUBY53c436.38$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.2885851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked GenOne59c420$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9166446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed ex-RUBY36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14419448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed GenOne49c373.32$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.389051.1%46 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed GenOne46c366.82$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.874,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-RUBY60c324.35$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.491,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed GenOne35c314.02$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.572,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed GenOne43c312.24$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.199148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed GenOne48c310$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.216550.3%83 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed ex-RUBY59c296.61$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17547054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed GenOne65c296.57$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8740558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked ex-RUBY32c280$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6340137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked GenOne26c277.83$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9475833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked ex-RUBY53c256.23$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.331,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcecf…e84fbacked ex-RUBY55c254.62$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405827.6%16 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY55c243.54$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.354,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed ex-RUBY58c240.87$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.732,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed GenOne42c240.47$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4726549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63c6…a5c9backed GenOne42c237.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0423146.3%107 W · 124 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57e6…9622backed GenOne44c234$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8614356.6%81 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked GenOne42c220.64$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.722,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6dd…238bbacked GenOne46c218.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.712446.8%58 W · 66 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed GenOne47c204.09$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.644,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked GenOne46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10824562%152 W · 93 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed ex-RUBY62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12437557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfd…5c91backed ex-RUBY29c199.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5812627%34 W · 92 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed GenOne51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.086847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked GenOne44c194.23$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7742255.7%235 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked GenOne43c194.18$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.692,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb997…faacbacked ex-RUBY58c191.37$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7920553.2%109 W · 96 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUBY53c189.67$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.782,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed GenOne44c187.78$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1640542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0010…c3a8backed ex-RUBY79c186.08$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14731673.7%233 W · 83 L+23.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked GenOne44c181$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3615732.5%51 W · 106 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb88…0e4cbacked GenOne54c178.68$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.681080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe04…1481backed ex-RUBY54c176.37$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2410541%43 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed ex-RUBY57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10077351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeeae…a2fabacked ex-RUBY57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007350.7%37 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed GenOne44c172.32$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.544552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GenOne46c170.09$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.485,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed GenOne71c168$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7241475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed GenOne28c164$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.892,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…0566backed GenOne49c161.52$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.059662.5%60 W · 36 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed ex-RUBY56c161$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5688330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed ex-RUBY65c160.65$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2949850.2%250 W · 248 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed ex-RUBY58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8736057.5%207 W · 153 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.