CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb05b0eb46b80d8d735fdb43522d2e3faa9e828e2aac44a95f4ff734a91542186
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, Butterfly
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Lavked | 53c | 18,459$9,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,719.56 | 630 | 57.1%360 W · 270 L | +40.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lavked | 54c | 7,235$3,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,307.85 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked Butterfly | 65c | 5,134$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.35 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…100fbacked Butterfly | 64c | 4,237$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.5 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28a…01c5backed Butterfly | 53c | 4,201$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.94 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Butterfly | 48c | 3,080$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.52 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Butterfly | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 749 | 56.7%425 W · 324 L | +47.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddc…c874backed Butterfly | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.98 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Lavked | 60c | 2,840$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.83 | 353 | 47.9%169 W · 184 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Lavked | 49c | 2,813$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.31 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Butterfly | 54c | 2,674$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.24 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lavked | 38c | 2,643$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.51 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637b…948bbacked Lavked | 58c | 2,577$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.18 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Lavked | 52c | 2,190$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.31 | 518 | 42.3%219 W · 299 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lavked | 49c | 2,183$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.73 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 49c | 2,133$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.56 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Butterfly | 5c | 1,909$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Butterfly | 55c | 1,841$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.26 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Butterfly | 61c | 1,672$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.36 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805d…f780backed Butterfly | 62c | 1,618$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Lavked | 49c | 1,576$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.32 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 48c | 1,528$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.66 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 55c | 1,451$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.79 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lavked | 40c | 1,421$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.93 | 805 | 42.2%340 W · 465 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Butterfly | 43c | 1,400$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Butterfly | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.98 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Lavked | 55c | 1,347$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.22 | 873 | 30.9%270 W · 603 L | -62.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked Lavked | 45c | 1,333$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.06 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Butterfly | 44c | 1,310$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.95 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Butterfly | 20c | 1,236$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.8 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 39c | 1,226$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.34 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed Butterfly | 37c | 1,200$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.99 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | +17.4wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed Butterfly | 52c | 1,105$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.66 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked Butterfly | 44c | 1,055$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.41 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b27…d405backed Butterfly | 49c | 1,029$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Lavked | 48c | 1,006$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.28 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Lavked | 46c | 1,003$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.89 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Lavked | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Butterfly | 64c | 999.39$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.61 | 220 | 56.8%125 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed Lavked | 33c | 913.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.06 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…bb5bbacked Butterfly | 51c | 900$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Butterfly | 57c | 783.98$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.87 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Butterfly | 56c | 778.4$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.91 | 590 | 55.3%326 W · 264 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Butterfly | 9c | 750$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Lavked | 41c | 715.59$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.8 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lavked | 48c | 675.7$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.81 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Butterfly | 49c | 672.73$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.45 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Butterfly | 12c | 652.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 1,546 | 33.8%523 W · 1,023 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked Butterfly | 57c | 621.14$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.51 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Lavked | 72c | 618.96$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.17 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Butterfly | 51c | 594.6$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d93fbacked Butterfly | 66c | 588.8$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.02 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Lavked | 44c | 559.32$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.22 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…6019backed Butterfly | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Butterfly | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 172 | 40.1%69 W · 103 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Lavked | 47c | 514.86$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.76 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Butterfly | 51c | 508.68$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.67 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Butterfly | 56c | 499.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.98 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Butterfly | 48c | 490.39$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.74 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Lavked | 40c | 478.58$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.02 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Butterfly | 21c | 471$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Lavked | 53c | 462.54$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.68 | 327 | 46.5%152 W · 175 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lavked | 54c | 447.01$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.6 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Lavked | 44c | 446.51$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.05 | 834 | 43.6%364 W · 470 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lavked | 41c | 435.36$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.75 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Butterfly | 59c | 429.52$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.42 | 208 | 59.1%123 W · 85 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe54e…4a99backed Butterfly | 60c | 426.24$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.76 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed Butterfly | 62c | 424.25$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.39 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Lavked | 57c | 411.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.17 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Butterfly | 43c | 407.34$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.52 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Lavked | 44c | 397.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.73 | 463 | 54%250 W · 213 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Lavked | 44c | 389$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.11 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b6…eec6backed Lavked | 51c | 386.71$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.53 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Lavked | 42c | 385.09$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.35 | 543 | 39.4%214 W · 329 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4994backed Butterfly | 50c | 375.23$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked Lavked | 44c | 370.45$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.45 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x389c…7780backed Lavked | 53c | 370.2$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Lavked | 40c | 365$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.87 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Lavked | 53c | 358.76$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.19 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Lavked | 36c | 353.04$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.07 | 549 | 38.4%211 W · 338 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Butterfly | 57c | 351$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.72 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Butterfly | 56c | 349.73$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.85 | 458 | 54.8%251 W · 207 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Lavked | 42c | 330$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Lavked | 72c | 322.85$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 746 | 33.4%249 W · 497 L | -48.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Lavked | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 982 | 48.3%474 W · 508 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Butterfly | 63c | 297.11$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.62 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30a…fcd8backed Lavked | 45c | 294.29$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.29 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Lavked | 51c | 286.9$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…0e9cbacked Lavked | 44c | 279.55$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Lavked | 37c | 269.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.76 | 449 | 44.8%201 W · 248 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Butterfly | 47c | 268.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.45 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Lavked | 65c | 265.23$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Lavked | 43c | 258.36$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Lavked | 39c | 249.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.76 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Butterfly | 32c | 247.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed Butterfly | 56c | 247.37$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Lavked | 73c | 246.2$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 247 | 40.9%101 W · 146 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Lavked | 46c | 237.85$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.39 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…7740backed Butterfly | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Lavked | 54c | 227.38$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Butterfly - Map 2 WinnerButterfly won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.