Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x287e7f9131119aa16448ce54a4c2f88ce5a769505ab44743b8c53b4434a743dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 31c | 9,999$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.59 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 5,996$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,738.95 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 59c | 1,915$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.72 | 2,585 | 40%1,035 W · 1,550 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 70c | 1,884$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.41 | 1,724 | 36.5%629 W · 1,095 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 57c | 1,818$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.81 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 70c | 1,690$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.63 | 1,266 | 50.2%635 W · 631 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 1,677$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.57 | 868 | 43%373 W · 495 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 1,172$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.9 | 2,566 | 42.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L | +52.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 30c | 649.85$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.41 | 773 | 42.6%329 W · 444 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 51c | 379.13$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.36 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 40c | 368.86$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.52 | 375 | 53.6%201 W · 174 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 40c | 362.91$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.97 | 254 | 55.5%141 W · 113 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 69c | 343.04$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.7 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 39c | 328.65$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.15 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 202 | 38.1%77 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 59c | 285.29$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 215 | 39.5%85 W · 130 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…b9f8backed Under | 45c | 246.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 38c | 214.55$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.83 | 244 | 59.8%146 W · 98 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 69c | 172.9$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 418 | 50.5%211 W · 207 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 39c | 157.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 43c | 147.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 39c | 128.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.15 | 246 | 61.8%152 W · 94 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 38c | 105.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 25c | 103.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 402 | 56.2%226 W · 176 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 40c | 92.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +9.2wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 31c | 89.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…79b1backed Over | 68c | 79.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 69c | 73.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 1,818 | 50.4%917 W · 901 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Under | 40c | 65.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 42c | 61.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 73c | 57.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 2,535 | 38%964 W · 1,571 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 37c | 52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 40c | 50.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 333 | 60.7%202 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 38c | 50.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7c…b6fcbacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…967fbacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6603…a04dbacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a10…8bd7backed Over | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…0246backed Over | 58c | 44.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…8486backed Under | 42c | 43.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 63c | 43.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Over | 69c | 42.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…4594backed Under | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe2…3c09backed Over | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 37c | 41.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 227 | 53.7%122 W · 105 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c1…2b54backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd083…eaa8backed Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 581 | 45.6%265 W · 316 L | -23.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc678…a43cbacked Over | 59c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c1…40dcbacked Under | 41c | 37.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 69c | 35.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…b134backed Under | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc34…555ebacked Under | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…9649backed Over | 64c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…ca6dbacked Over | 60c | 34.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 37c | 34.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 93 | 65.6%61 W · 32 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 33c | 32.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…dd3bbacked Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…5b65backed Over | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 70c | 28.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 473 | 53.1%251 W · 222 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…9bbdbacked Over | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Over | 70c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…d91bbacked Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 70c | 20.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 78cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…534abacked Over | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed Over | 68c | 15.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc4…27dfbacked Over | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.