Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82d1546fbca84582f508199ce33f6de3a5f0cb08eed0570b47df1dc4b1050da4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qingdao Hainiu FCof Shanghai Shenhua FC, Qingdao Hainiu FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 20c | 3,387$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.75 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 78c | 2,691$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.46 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 60c | 1,185$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.15 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 36c | 440.28$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 23c | 338.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 24c | 305.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 57c | 199.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 37c | 194.84$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 62c | 163.09$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 55c | 143.17$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 64c | 130.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 38c | 123.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 37c | 110.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…025fbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 71.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 65c | 61.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 60c | 48.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 80c | 43.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 42c | 41.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…365fbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 41c | 38.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 44c | 36.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 71c | 32.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 77c | 30.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 64c | 23.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 62c | 18.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)this page
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Shanghai Shenhua FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.