TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,425
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,270

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,425 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94e4…87e0backed Under51c34,100$17,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,569.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under52c15,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.8212939.5%51 W · 78 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Over50c10,519$5,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2602951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c6,965$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.45,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Over48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over49c4,000$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Over48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c3,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4601,74950.7%887 W · 862 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over29c2,621$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.332,52039.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over11c2,536$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.512,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb38…1659backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1c0…1f1cbacked Over49c2,036$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8762…0d85backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9fd…9d5abacked Over50c1,995$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over49c1,731$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.152250%11 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x768b…bf0fbacked Over49c1,463$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under50c1,415$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.3593446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under51c1,386$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.091,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c1,188$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.3438849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x583e…a2a6backed Over48c1,138$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.181154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x278f…ef30backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under50c879.71$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.6839649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over45c794.01$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.281,66236.2%602 W · 1,060 L-34.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over48c617$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.1690544.9%406 W · 499 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28817247.1%81 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Over48c590.27$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.3316647.6%79 W · 87 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over48c505$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.43644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under68c504.29$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0725155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2406246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under68c476.15$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6937153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over33c439.51$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3672342%304 W · 419 L-29.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over45c433.24$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9614948.3%72 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fec…4c72backed Over13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over48c238.23$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.354647.8%22 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9621552.1%112 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x460c…b5b5backed Under69c182.35$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.837973.4%58 W · 21 L+11.6wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+24.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Over51c176.8$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.17812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-74.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under72c169.97$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1819261.5%118 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under73c160.56$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0132060%192 W · 128 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Over46c160$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.414752.4%77 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729540%38 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over49c145$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0530049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked Over51c143.83$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.87580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c142.92$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.991,46435.6%521 W · 943 L-33.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over12c138.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.651,23549.9%616 W · 619 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under50c136.75$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9840750.6%206 W · 201 L-0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over50c116.74$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3520157.2%115 W · 86 L+15.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under72c113.45$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9623859.7%142 W · 96 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x013f…ca85backed Under68c111.38$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.442785.2%23 W · 4 L+9.2wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+65.1%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under51c108$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.921,12646.3%521 W · 605 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472560%15 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+27.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x65c5…7ba3backed Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0437552%195 W · 180 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92a…ae82backed Over17c88.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under65c85.78$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.124161.4%148 W · 93 L+17.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49f0…285fbacked Under64c83.71$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.511181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+41.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.79851%50 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ff…025fbacked Over48c74.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.71955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under51c70.57$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.413956.8%79 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.798056.3%45 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under69c65.57$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.567570.7%53 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb5f5…1b50backed Over49c60.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.73375.8%25 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under52c60.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6276239.2%299 W · 463 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under55c54.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.543145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab6…79b1backed Over48c53.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.561656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Over51c51.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.171533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x732d…8b00backed Over50c48.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b3…8b6dbacked Under54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick52cpaid+69.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under51c40.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.051,99154.1%1,078 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2016555.8%92 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under68c39.66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.789265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over47c38.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.22650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under53c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9619354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Over48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87d3…a568backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-62.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x27f6…400bbacked Over51c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.79633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under80c26.3$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.38265.9%54 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under66c25.18$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5516659.6%99 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Over50c23.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.552544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over46c22.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2711145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Over45c22.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.023554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3b…8f52backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed Under80c18.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.753278.1%25 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick78cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under55c18.02$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.024647.8%22 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.