TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

National Bank Open: Duncan Chan vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thiago Agustin Tiranteof Duncan Chan, Thiago Agustin Tirante
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$383,295
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$409,624

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,295 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf519…906bbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante52c21,751$11,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,440.5764755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecc5…5fdebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante75c19,806$14,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,016.2724344%107 W · 136 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Duncan Chan38c18,000$6,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,838.6752844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Duncan Chan36c17,675$6,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,326.3211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Thiago Agustin Tirante59c16,949$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,949.1574439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Thiago Agustin Tirante37c15,000$5,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,430.2237450%187 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Duncan Chan37c14,826$5,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,440.94,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Thiago Agustin Tirante69c14,534$10,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,521.697062.9%44 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Duncan Chan35c12,535$4,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,429.9136545.2%165 W · 200 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Thiago Agustin Tirante67c11,095$7,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,647.53,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Duncan Chan25c10,287$2,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571.681,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Duncan Chan31c8,911$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,753.751,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9c…34d9backed Duncan Chan38c8,861$3,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,367.881070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Duncan Chan26c7,667$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.522,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Thiago Agustin Tirante48c5,377$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,776.8710448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Duncan Chan32c5,146$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.338,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Duncan Chan74c4,811$3,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,567.314,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Duncan Chan30c4,140$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.116,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Thiago Agustin Tirante35c3,673$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,374.7930235.4%107 W · 195 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Duncan Chan33c3,493$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.594,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcdc…4281backed Duncan Chan63c3,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8902240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Thiago Agustin Tirante74c2,988$2,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.771,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Duncan Chan36c2,543$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.933855%186 W · 152 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Thiago Agustin Tirante75c2,260$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.2838557.1%220 W · 165 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7544…e3aebacked Duncan Chan38c2,132$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.3618246.7%85 W · 97 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante74c2,100$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.9465558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Thiago Agustin Tirante57c1,755$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.1960053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Duncan Chan9c1,683$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3110531.4%33 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Thiago Agustin Tirante80c1,537$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.553644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Duncan Chan34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.879,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Duncan Chan27c1,270$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.721,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Thiago Agustin Tirante74c1,202$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.65580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6f8…df87backed Duncan Chan66c1,120$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.8314450.7%73 W · 71 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Duncan Chan47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Thiago Agustin Tirante68c1,052$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.148447.6%40 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Duncan Chan33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3305261.5%32 W · 20 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+39.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Duncan Chan18c914$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.522,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14a2…704cbacked Duncan Chan24c838.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014418.1%26 W · 118 L-0.5wins0.00per pick18cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Duncan Chan34c835.4$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.1127139.1%106 W · 165 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Duncan Chan37c815.09$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.183,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd072…95e8backed Duncan Chan76c807.49$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.6924851.2%127 W · 121 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x398f…30f2backed Duncan Chan28c764.42$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5416941.4%70 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Duncan Chan76c755.37$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.0836154%195 W · 166 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Duncan Chan76c751.26$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.9644552.8%235 W · 210 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe585…09efbacked Duncan Chan51c749.85$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3792250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Duncan Chan35c680.2$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.651,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a3…ac8fbacked Duncan Chan27c666.67$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Duncan Chan79c632.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021567.4%145 W · 70 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b6a…9fb9backed Duncan Chan42c630$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.62864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante32c624.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.641,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Duncan Chan26c600$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1567,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x831f…cc50backed Thiago Agustin Tirante32c584.14$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.9221841.3%90 W · 128 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Thiago Agustin Tirante76c540.82$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1973458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Duncan Chan32c540.27$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.022,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…38c8backed Thiago Agustin Tirante75c505.11$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.272487.5%21 W · 3 L+5.2wins+0.22per pick66cpaid+31.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Duncan Chan11c505$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.951,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante52c467.39$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.71,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Duncan Chan76c463.39$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.3539159.1%231 W · 160 L+28.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Duncan Chan22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10064540.2%259 W · 386 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Duncan Chan31c450.77$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.741,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Duncan Chan36c450.52$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.71,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Duncan Chan76c446$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.9636557.3%209 W · 156 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Duncan Chan76c446$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.9644758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfee…0608backed Thiago Agustin Tirante69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.784158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+40.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Duncan Chan76c432$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.3239157.8%226 W · 165 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Duncan Chan28c430.15$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030625.8%79 W · 227 L-28.6wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Duncan Chan25c424.36$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.392,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Thiago Agustin Tirante52c407.54$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.6249447.2%233 W · 261 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Duncan Chan26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10435938.2%137 W · 222 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac36…b1e1backed Thiago Agustin Tirante63c396.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8313245.5%60 W · 72 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed Duncan Chan75c391$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.4131164.3%200 W · 111 L+36.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante51c374.88$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.8830647.7%146 W · 160 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Duncan Chan76c369$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.4435558.6%208 W · 147 L+19.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Duncan Chan76c367$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9239759.4%236 W · 161 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Thiago Agustin Tirante40c362.31$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.813,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Duncan Chan26c357.34$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6944851.6%231 W · 217 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Thiago Agustin Tirante52c330.18$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.4965942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Duncan Chan76c330$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.837460.4%226 W · 148 L+29.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Duncan Chan26c328.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.547,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3679…492ebacked Duncan Chan76c324.96$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.5429554.6%161 W · 134 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Duncan Chan48c323.63$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.752,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Duncan Chan37c322.34$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12041440.3%167 W · 247 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e1…98dbbacked Duncan Chan50c318.59$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.627852.6%41 W · 37 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Duncan Chan11c316.34$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6639648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Thiago Agustin Tirante68c315$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.825158.6%147 W · 104 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3131…91cdbacked Duncan Chan74c302.72$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.4631855.7%177 W · 141 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Duncan Chan34c301.84$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1976355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Duncan Chan31c301.63$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.952,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Duncan Chan32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9618244%80 W · 102 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Duncan Chan26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Duncan Chan53c300$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.141,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Duncan Chan76c299.83$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.8751457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Duncan Chan76c296.25$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1536954.2%200 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Duncan Chan45c276.96$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6311850%59 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x126f…739fbacked Duncan Chan32c273.25$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.78250%41 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Duncan Chan28c267.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7521524.7%53 W · 162 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…7ae4backed Thiago Agustin Tirante78c258.27$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.828962.9%56 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Duncan Chan16c241.05$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.574,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Duncan Chan37c240$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.840836.8%150 W · 258 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Duncan Chan43c237.56$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.651,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.