Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe00cfca48add1da4e38773144fb61fad54735681d88c37e335b6f7e11838697c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qingdao Xihaian FCof Qingdao Xihaian FC, Qingdao Hainiu FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 71c | 5,526$3,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,906.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.04 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 29c | 1,723$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.44 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 73c | 1,673$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.42 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 30c | 1,665$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.85 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 68c | 1,578$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.35 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 30c | 970.41$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.68 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 69c | 951.53$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.56 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 25c | 596.67$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.92 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 30c | 507.72$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.06 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 71c | 377.94$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.92 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 19c | 250$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 28c | 249.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.79 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 22c | 203.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.9 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 26c | 199.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.97 | 421 | 51.3%216 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 31c | 153.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.76 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 31c | 112.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 321 | 54.2%174 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 69c | 112.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 30c | 99.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 72c | 75.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 72c | 73.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 35c | 64.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 36c | 53.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 27c | 48.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 31c | 32.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…fcddbacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Qingdao Xihaian FC | 46c | 30.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 72c | 24.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 69c | 22.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…d91bbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…6d73backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 71c | 20.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7889…ee1ebacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 73c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 71c | 19.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Qingdao Xihaian FC | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)this page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.