Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62feca5b69534733257969282c080fa82537a0d9e8932fc01b067475251bc0e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.84 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 67c | 7,369$4,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.72 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 5,009$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.73 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 11c | 1,081$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 67c | 579.13$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.11 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 424.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 71c | 308.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 67c | 265.31$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 69c | 261.33$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 67c | 259.43$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.08 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 67c | 258.75$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 67c | 196$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 67c | 157.88$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 13c | 140.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 17c | 130.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 69c | 94.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 61c | 57.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 67c | 53.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 67c | 47.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…1a3bbacked Under | 67c | 46.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 67c | 46.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 67c | 46.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 76c | 40.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 72c | 27.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x918a…03c8backed Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 67c | 22.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 73c | 20.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 67c | 20.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Under | 67c | 15.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.