Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3936130aa9abd8109c761c0cb876814ce4cbe69a16ef55676399c1ab7b4e512
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 59c | 17,059$10,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,119.96 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 9,990$4,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,934.14 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 2,079$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.26 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 41c | 1,854$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.31 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed No | 40c | 1,384$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.6 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 1,315$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.05 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Yes | 60c | 999.97$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 62c | 794.98$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.88 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…975cbacked Yes | 34c | 749.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.49 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 40c | 465.26$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.19 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed No | 41c | 417.21$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 41c | 353.28$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.52 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 40c | 246$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.39 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 60c | 236.65$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 52c | 230$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 60c | 213.33$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 212$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.27 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 47c | 170.39$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 69c | 160.81$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 66c | 118.67$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…3d6fbacked Yes | 46c | 116.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…12a6backed No | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +5.6wins | +0.40per pick | 53cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed No | 40c | 105$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 58c | 99.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 44c | 85.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Yes | 39c | 81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 59c | 70.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 45c | 59.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 40.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 41c | 36.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 41c | 36.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 45c | 32.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…ab54backed No | 40c | 31.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 47c | 30.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 60c | 22.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Yes | 59c | 20.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.