Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8210e8c5cdf7203f7af1e633786a19eaefcf4f31dc95bbb5ffafba08f4e119aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…421cbacked Under | 20c | 1,324$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 23c | 534.88$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.78 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Under | 20c | 325.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 78c | 322.46$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…767dbacked Under | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 80c | 299.1$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 31c | 295.79$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…38d0backed Over | 80c | 251.5$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 226.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 76c | 173.96$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 77c | 149.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 21c | 137.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Under | 24c | 132.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 28c | 114.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 15c | 100.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 23c | 65.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Over | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 77c | 64.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Over | 80c | 63.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 33c | 54.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 29c | 42.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 25.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 65c | 15.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -8.5wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Qingdao Hainiu FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.