TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,241
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,227

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,241 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2e25…d49ebacked Over52c30,000$15,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,484.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x583e…a2a6backed Under48c10,240$4,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,277.281050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under48c9,663$4,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,988.1817249.4%85 W · 87 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under51c6,733$3,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,289.222,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under51c3,364$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.4212639.7%50 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under48c2,291$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.052951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c2,199$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.162,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c1,978$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.21,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c1,483$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.7738849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c1,272$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.1339649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under72c1,176$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.896846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5103855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7381…d95dbacked Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under49c911.59$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.691,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over27c906.55$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.6492835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over33c880.56$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.8621652.3%113 W · 103 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c874.59$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.775,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over50c824$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4122250%11 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Under48c622.38$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.738953.9%48 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under70c495.43$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.639268.5%63 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff4b…6555backed Over49c485.76$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.741947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under74c420.92$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.892360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over56c399.95$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.975444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under67c372.1$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.14369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over51c306.45$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.297749.4%38 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under48c305.3$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.659241.3%38 W · 54 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over53c300$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.542351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1682142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over34c256.18$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.114429.2%42 W · 102 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed Under63c242.55$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c229.81$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.572,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over58c221.9$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.121752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over57c207$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0527037%100 W · 170 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over50c206$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.861,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa560…767dbacked Under44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe12…728fbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x975c…6343backed Over46c185.83$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5650%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under43c168.86$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.531346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over52c161.95$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.15933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over62c161.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006382.5%52 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under56c157.52$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.731,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Over40c154$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2511839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over31c153.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0144152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Under66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+37.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over55c133.97$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0624061.7%148 W · 92 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over59c128.74$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8574739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over38c125.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.571,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under49c122.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.339439.4%37 W · 57 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over37c119.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.946454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under38c118.06$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.21,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over50c105.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2389245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under44c102.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.272650%13 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe70…7533backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514060%24 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over63c98.06$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7833452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1218…511dbacked Under60c89.14$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.49825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-54.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…f356backed Under56c86.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over59c83.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.71,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under48c83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1610949.5%54 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over15c82.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5858542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under39c80$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.832654%176 W · 150 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over45c74.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7319751.8%102 W · 95 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over25c68.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.178836.4%32 W · 56 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe49f…03acbacked Over53c64.6$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.562634.6%9 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-37.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under62c62.55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5413246.2%61 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25e6…74a9backed Over56c62.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.93070%21 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+31.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258056.3%45 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over58c53.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.053756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c7…cd28backed Under49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a9c…0f59backed Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under44c48.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.971,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under48c47.31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.640550.6%205 W · 200 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over46c41.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198645.3%39 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb730…e9c2backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205939%23 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.818161.9%112 W · 69 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3172…7520backed Under39c38.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf98…0924backed Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.042263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+40%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Over34c37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.42922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-46.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under41c36.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.371553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under57c35.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.166454.7%35 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Over60c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215060%30 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Under45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.331947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x897e…b705backed Under69c32.64$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97a7…ac24backed Over53c31.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.02616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-74.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over52c31.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3423859.7%142 W · 96 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91e7…6716backed Under54c30.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.821353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Over57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.12962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed Over57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.152454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf6…baf9backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0641…b99fbacked Over54c29.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Over54c27.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.756437.5%24 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under65c26.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3525155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under51c26.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.131861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3969…bbecbacked Over56c25.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51a6…ef45backed Over51c25.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over57c24.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8826348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.