TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,711

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,495 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb5a…8445backed Under3c370.45$11 inLost-$11.155420.4%11 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under38c305.52$117 inLost-$116.879241.3%38 W · 54 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under26c255.63$65 inLost-$65.258132.1%26 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over76c237.63$180 inWon+$57.6312074.2%89 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e49…5166backed Over79c130.97$104 inWon+$279100%9 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under30c87.91$26 inLost-$26.395,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over71c78$55 inWon+$22.627749.4%38 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over72c75.43$54 inWon+$21.4724061.7%148 W · 92 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x502c…728fbacked Over75c66.67$50 inWon+$16.67977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c58.21$31 inLost-$30.792,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over73c56.31$41 inWon+$15.431,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Under19c56.08$11 inLost-$10.852339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…50d4backed Under20c50$10 inLost-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid+12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c49.95$21 inLost-$20.972,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff4b…6555backed Under29c49.28$14 inLost-$14.091947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over45c42.44$19 inWon+$23.448645.3%39 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over35c37.77$13 inWon+$24.668836.4%32 W · 56 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over71c29.14$21 inWon+$8.451,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d19…d21dbacked Under78c25.6$20 inLost-$20475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.