Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71103bfb2a1926018181d8f47b25a4ce52b22810b56faa0def6c46353cb1ef58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 26c | 10,086$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 5,307$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.41 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 17c | 1,516$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.55 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 74c | 1,220$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.29 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 78c | 811.82$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.51 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 73c | 577.13$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.83 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 74c | 337.29$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 21c | 199.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 75c | 110$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 74c | 101$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 22c | 94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61b…fe5ebacked Under | 78c | 94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 24c | 81.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 24c | 79.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 23c | 60.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3172…7520backed Under | 77c | 45.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 79c | 37.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 76c | 36.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 76c | 32.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 75c | 31.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Under | 76c | 26.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…d91bbacked Under | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 76c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 76c | 14.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 3.5this page
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Dinamo City (-1.5)FK Auda won
- Spread: FC Dinamo City (-2.5)FK Auda won
- Spread: FK Auda (-1.5)FC Dinamo City won
- Spread: FK Auda (-2.5)FC Dinamo City won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.