Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ce269612b144f36eb5a12a8d5fa26187775c7d1262567fca36e061fcd211c14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 3,190$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.74 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 73c | 2,742$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 50c | 1,965$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.21 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 32c | 1,501$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.27 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…f9e6backed Over | 70c | 1,400$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 43c | 1,041$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.16 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 61c | 1,008$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.8 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 40c | 610.73$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 46c | 563.61$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.35 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 496.64$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.78 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 48c | 491.63$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Under | 80c | 476.94$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 56c | 455.14$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.26 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 37c | 360.37$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.74 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 49c | 344.56$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.28 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 28c | 333.12$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.49 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Over | 31c | 333$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 45c | 331.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 38c | 314.96$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.62 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…3b84backed Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Under | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1c…d47dbacked Under | 75c | 231.85$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 27c | 212.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.05 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 36c | 146.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Under | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 32c | 109.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 27c | 109.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 27c | 97.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 49c | 96.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 51c | 95.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 26c | 83.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Over | 73c | 76.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 35c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…504bbacked Over | 41c | 72.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 40c | 69.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 35c | 65.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 41c | 63.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…85fbbacked Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed Under | 49c | 55.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 61c | 55.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 53c | 54.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 50c | 49.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Over | 31c | 43.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…3bc8backed Under | 55c | 43.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18cd…b710backed Under | 29c | 41.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf6…baf9backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 56c | 36.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 71c | 35.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 55c | 33.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…4484backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…ef59backed Under | 76c | 28.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 60c | 26.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 59c | 25.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 51c | 24.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 58c | 24.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Over | 50c | 24.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 73c | 23.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…097ebacked Over | 72c | 21.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 1.5this page
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Dinamo City (-1.5)FK Auda won
- Spread: FC Dinamo City (-2.5)FK Auda won
- Spread: FK Auda (-1.5)FC Dinamo City won
- Spread: FK Auda (-2.5)FC Dinamo City won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.