Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FK Auda (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32af143f34a3ed33f77b3c8282dea0e2074ea8b262d4112818fdc1ddb26fde20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Dinamo Cityof FK Auda, FC Dinamo City
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FK Auda | 17c | 954.47$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.06 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Dinamo City | 73c | 725.91$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.98 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked FK Auda | 19c | 524.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked FK Auda | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FK Auda | 36c | 421.66$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.58 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked FC Dinamo City | 79c | 298.48$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked FK Auda | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked FK Auda | 37c | 129.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC Dinamo City | 63c | 129.73$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed FK Auda | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed FC Dinamo City | 79c | 94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed FC Dinamo City | 79c | 66.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked FK Auda | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed FC Dinamo City | 79c | 57.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed FK Auda | 37c | 45.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed FC Dinamo City | 75c | 37.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…3bc8backed FC Dinamo City | 74c | 34.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FK Auda (-1.5)this page
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Dinamo City (-1.5)FK Auda won
- Spread: FC Dinamo City (-2.5)FK Auda won
- Spread: FK Auda (-2.5)FC Dinamo City won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.