Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66f05858204cde1e72157179b395b71921e9ed10c5ca2e9f22f7fb610d5c6d30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 1,024$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.37 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 14c | 835.29$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 24c | 716.43$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.34 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 74c | 664.09$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.79 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26da…3b4cbacked Over | 79c | 615.66$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 18c | 553.28$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 56c | 399.96$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.98 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 65c | 384.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.61 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 23c | 369.18$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 352 | 46.3%163 W · 189 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 74c | 335.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 17c | 329.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…cd85backed Under | 32c | 211.91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 22c | 186.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Under | 42c | 179.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 34c | 179$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 70c | 172.24$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 21c | 130.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 8c | 127.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f0…a0b1backed Over | 74c | 83.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 77.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 61c | 69.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f8…2c9abacked Over | 78c | 67.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 68c | 66.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 26c | 63.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Over | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 32c | 47.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 0.5this page
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 4.5Under won
- FK Auda vs. FC Dinamo City: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Dinamo City (-1.5)FK Auda won
- Spread: FC Dinamo City (-2.5)FK Auda won
- Spread: FK Auda (-1.5)FC Dinamo City won
- Spread: FK Auda (-2.5)FC Dinamo City won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.