TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
CA Tigreof Racing Club, CA Tigre
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,161

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,267 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4488…e319backed Racing Club21c5,000$1,050 inLost-$1,049.9134747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Racing Club19c4,999$967 inLost-$967.292,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed CA Tigre80c3,544$2,834 inWon+$709.6842962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked CA Tigre79c2,491$1,968 inWon+$523.1119742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Racing Club20c2,422$484 inLost-$484.372,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Racing Club20c1,657$337 inLost-$336.521,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Racing Club20c1,503$305 inLost-$305.121,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked CA Tigre79c1,246$984 inWon+$261.567843.6%34 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed CA Tigre80c1,230$984 inWon+$245.999244.6%41 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed CA Tigre80c187.52$150 inWon+$37.526561.5%40 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked CA Tigre80c175.01$140 inWon+$35.017463.5%47 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed CA Tigre79c119$94 inWon+$24.993,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked CA Tigre80c101.76$81 inWon+$20.6372058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed CA Tigre80c100$80 inWon+$202458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked CA Tigre80c62.5$50 inWon+$12.54456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked CA Tigre79c52.42$41 inWon+$11.0115554.2%84 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee3…2e6abacked Racing Club23c47.83$11 inLost-$116426.6%17 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed CA Tigre79c43.65$34 inWon+$9.1755946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed CA Tigre79c31.76$25 inWon+$6.6315651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba71…1209backed CA Tigre80c24.6$20 inWon+$4.92560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0165…d91bbacked CA Tigre80c18.75$15 inWon+$3.753100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed CA Tigre80c16.85$13 inWon+$3.372470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bef…ffd3backed CA Tigre80c15.38$12 inWon+$3.08366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked CA Tigre79c13.41$11 inWon+$2.8226465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.