South American Leagues · resolved market
Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb43e22e9f6c1612edc4ec97f97c23bbb27152c3c9fffb75d730c51391b9ea2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 3,673$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.88 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 49c | 2,500$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.62 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,121$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.13 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 53c | 580.18$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.49 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 35c | 310.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.51 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 58c | 302.52$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.66 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 41c | 231.63$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 51c | 204.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 55c | 185.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.19 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 50c | 149.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 61c | 100.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 51c | 90.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 58.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 51c | 48.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 48c | 39.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 49c | 38.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 47c | 36.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 51c | 33.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 61c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6618…3733backed Yes | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 52c | 25.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 58c | 24.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed No | 59c | 22.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 59c | 17.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 2.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 3.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 4.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 5.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: Racing Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-2.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)CA Tigre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.