South American Leagues · resolved market
Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x685b8462b0f20572fd8461ee13db62d0fbf7d7c323d24475007220d10caf3405
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 36c | 6,116$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.29 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 39c | 3,639$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.57 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 64c | 2,726$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.46 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 2,701$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.61 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 39c | 2,345$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.23 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 55c | 2,165$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.99 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 1,701$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.73 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 62c | 1,017$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.29 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 711.5$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.37 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 52c | 310.58$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 69c | 270.75$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.78 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 8c | 240$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 60c | 181.07$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 80c | 140.06$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.83 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 59c | 135.91$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 39c | 135$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 34c | 113.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.07 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 65c | 83.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Over | 39c | 73.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 39c | 71.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 39c | 70.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Over | 17c | 65.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 37c | 46.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 36c | 40.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 56c | 37.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 36c | 29.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +10.8wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 3.5this page
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 2.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 4.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 5.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: Racing Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-2.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)CA Tigre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.