TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,069

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,490 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c4,062$1,893 inLost-$1,893.068,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c1,716$852 inWon+$863.671,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over59c1,409$830 inWon+$579.6675240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over61c853.95$521 inWon+$333.0434747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c739.38$364 inWon+$375.755,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7a…f252backed Over54c462.96$250 inWon+$212.962142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over54c364.74$198 inWon+$166.982,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under39c295$115 inLost-$115.0549136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under47c214.47$101 inLost-$100.933152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under46c159.51$74 inLost-$73.7246449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4acb…ddd3backed Under36c151.58$55 inLost-$54.572955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under43c142.38$62 inLost-$61.7919040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under51c128$65 inLost-$64.6472058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Over64c117.17$75 inWon+$42.185251.9%27 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+40.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under46c111.15$51 inLost-$51.2250656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under46c106.32$49 inLost-$49.1469453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under39c82.05$32 inLost-$327741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae3b…e06ebacked Under27c76.49$21 inLost-$20.652254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over73c70.4$51 inWon+$19.019740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under39c51.57$20 inLost-$20.115042%21 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8041…fc83backed Under39c50$20 inLost-$19.58453.6%45 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Under48c41.01$20 inLost-$19.538760.9%53 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under48c39.98$19 inLost-$19.0410458.7%61 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Over64c35.15$22 inWon+$12.65944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a1…30d1backed Over52c28.17$15 inWon+$13.471844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.