South American Leagues · resolved market
Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bda994290dbf6cc83a56bf35b1eec31a1d210df9da4e41a666309328547a08d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Over | 35c | 5,926$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853.72 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 4,958$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 57c | 3,853$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.69 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 2,867$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.87 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 42c | 1,949$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.2 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 1,922$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.21 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 65c | 1,153$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.45 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 49c | 1,116$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.86 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 72c | 665.52$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.38 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 8c | 579.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 578.62$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.1 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Under | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 30c | 324$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 294$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 74c | 279.92$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +10.8wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 45c | 256.86$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.69 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 65c | 228.76$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 50c | 218$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 51c | 198.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 65c | 192$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 41c | 190.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 29c | 160.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 29c | 155.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 56c | 150.69$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 39c | 141.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 80c | 140.11$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 55c | 117.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…deedbacked Under | 66c | 105.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 57c | 104.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 66c | 80.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 68c | 72.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 29c | 70.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 65c | 61.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 70c | 57.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 45c | 57.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 45c | 54.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 65c | 49.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 52c | 47.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 44.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Over | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 49c | 30.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 68c | 25.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Under | 66c | 23.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…79b1backed Under | 67c | 22.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Under | 65c | 21.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Under | 65c | 21.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 71c | 17.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 64c | 16.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 72c | 16.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 73c | 16.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…84bcbacked Over | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 2.5this page
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 0.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 3.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 4.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 5.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: Racing Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-2.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)CA Tigre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.