TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Ravena Oliveira (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Juliana Millerof Juliana Miller, Ravena Oliveira
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$280,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,743 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Juliana Miller77c70,351$54,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,180.8215444.2%68 W · 86 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Ravena Oliveira23c48,329$11,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,115.687534.7%26 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Ravena Oliveira23c43,888$10,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,094.2410035%35 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c8…3c52backed Ravena Oliveira30c38,164$11,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,501.41812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-73.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Juliana Miller76c27,014$20,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,483.416244.4%72 W · 90 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Ravena Oliveira24c22,270$5,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,344.86238.7%24 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Juliana Miller77c14,643$11,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,367.8913452.2%70 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Ravena Oliveira23c13,100$3,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,013520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-72.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Ravena Oliveira23c13,064$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,004.653545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed Ravena Oliveira23c13,000$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9901546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Juliana Miller77c11,900$9,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,73711554.8%63 W · 52 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Juliana Miller69c10,000$6,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1102962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Juliana Miller77c9,000$6,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0706172.1%44 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Ravena Oliveira23c7,237$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.3520348.3%98 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Juliana Miller72c6,735$4,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,914.745152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17b8…d5d1backed Juliana Miller79c6,098$4,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.912847.7%61 W · 67 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Juliana Miller75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2503762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5896backed Ravena Oliveira14c4,979$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.614237.3%53 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Juliana Miller70c4,828$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.47862.8%49 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf958…db13backed Ravena Oliveira25c4,718$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Juliana Miller77c4,701$3,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.233644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa160…442bbacked Ravena Oliveira22c4,550$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.983145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1b…724fbacked Juliana Miller71c4,300$3,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2474981.6%40 W · 9 L+7.8wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+22.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Ravena Oliveira23c4,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9308220.7%17 W · 65 L-12.6wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7b4d…51a0backed Juliana Miller74c3,483$2,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Ravena Oliveira17c3,222$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.121844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Juliana Miller69c2,684$1,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.142070%14 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+52.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x56a6…e5aebacked Ravena Oliveira24c1,634$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.0630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ceb…b821backed Ravena Oliveira27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4053345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Juliana Miller75c1,423$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.318651.2%44 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Ravena Oliveira18c1,361$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.4626552.1%138 W · 127 L+23.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed Ravena Oliveira24c1,320$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.85330.2%16 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2edd…e968backed Juliana Miller76c1,204$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.953666.7%24 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Juliana Miller73c1,100$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30122847.8%109 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Ravena Oliveira24c1,052$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.5329133.7%98 W · 193 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…a656backed Juliana Miller74c1,050$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.55569.1%38 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed Ravena Oliveira23c1,040$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.26132.8%20 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Ravena Oliveira25c1,038$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.157152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8191…b591backed Juliana Miller74c787.84$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.845455.6%30 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Juliana Miller77c706.47$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4942254.3%229 W · 193 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaef…2665backed Juliana Miller76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.891471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f4a…7aa2backed Juliana Miller77c649.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.353857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+58.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Juliana Miller72c590.73$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.418558.8%50 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Juliana Miller77c561.36$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3626140.6%106 W · 155 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a63…5dcebacked Juliana Miller73c555.92$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.664951%25 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Juliana Miller77c539.29$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.042445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Juliana Miller77c532.47$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.473655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7762…309ebacked Ravena Oliveira26c520$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.22552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x721e…3439backed Juliana Miller77c512.82$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.95875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Juliana Miller70c483$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5211240.2%45 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Ravena Oliveira23c455$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6520933.5%70 W · 139 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Juliana Miller74c412.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.051850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Juliana Miller73c384.81$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.122867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Ravena Oliveira26c371.1$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.492433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Ravena Oliveira24c353.7$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.898622.1%19 W · 67 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-45.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Juliana Miller73c352.14$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.081338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x676e…28c5backed Ravena Oliveira26c346.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6443backed Ravena Oliveira23c340.6$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.344035%14 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9874…2e27backed Juliana Miller76c339.99$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.62744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Ravena Oliveira26c338$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9312451.6%64 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed Ravena Oliveira27c332$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.64714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid+46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8c…e275backed Juliana Miller72c329.35$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.227247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed50…630dbacked Juliana Miller80c322$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-58.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Ravena Oliveira25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512038.3%46 W · 74 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ravena Oliveira8c284.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3733132%106 W · 225 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Ravena Oliveira23c282.61$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6515549%76 W · 79 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf753…8449backed Ravena Oliveira24c276.95$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Juliana Miller75c267.4$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7824356.8%138 W · 105 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Juliana Miller75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672680.8%21 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Ravena Oliveira23c263.7$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.659848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Juliana Miller76c260.41$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.53756.8%21 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Juliana Miller77c253.22$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.24955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Ravena Oliveira23c240$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.24461.4%27 W · 17 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd422…7e43backed Juliana Miller77c225$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.751275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ravena Oliveira24c224.51$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2626736%96 W · 171 L-16.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Ravena Oliveira24c210.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed Juliana Miller77c200.09$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.028964%57 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Juliana Miller78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+84.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x49f0…285fbacked Juliana Miller78c193.4$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.553100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6870…610bbacked Juliana Miller77c188.31$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x018e…5c3dbacked Juliana Miller77c150.65$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.652871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+37.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b7a…2a54backed Juliana Miller76c146.05$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.052560%15 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Ravena Oliveira29c143.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2814643.8%64 W · 82 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff97…e7cabacked Juliana Miller75c134.33$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5311078.2%86 W · 24 L+15.6wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+20.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5aa1…2c8abacked Juliana Miller77c129$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Juliana Miller78c128.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21926.3%5 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec7…12f7backed Ravena Oliveira34c118.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402425%6 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Ravena Oliveira26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Ravena Oliveira23c107$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.617150.7%36 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f7…4f7cbacked Juliana Miller73c101.65$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Juliana Miller78c101.33$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2913836.2%50 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4ae…1b3dbacked Ravena Oliveira10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103083.3%25 W · 5 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Juliana Miller76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248158%47 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc860…c0b7backed Ravena Oliveira25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252524%6 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3ae…d117backed Juliana Miller76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246560%39 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Ravena Oliveira24c96.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ef…ff5ebacked Ravena Oliveira26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x992d…75b7backed Ravena Oliveira23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205446.3%25 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Juliana Miller78c85$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.75650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Juliana Miller73c84.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.