Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x002e15f048339320764d8b844a41174db42f1298b2a5174c4f6b50d39fa0aa37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 26c | 7,964$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.63 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 74c | 3,839$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.39 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 27c | 1,864$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 75c | 1,589$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.29 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 28c | 1,532$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 73c | 1,087$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.48 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 73c | 1,083$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.03 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Over | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 28c | 998.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.71 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 74c | 967.1$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.39 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 73c | 819.77$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.47 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Over | 15c | 718.19$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.95 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 25c | 688$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 74c | 507.41$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 12c | 499.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 16c | 487.64$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 25c | 444$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Over | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…8e3fbacked Under | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 26c | 267$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2770…290bbacked Under | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Under | 77c | 260.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 179 | 62.6%112 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb94a…d680backed Under | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 16c | 191.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 77c | 148.14$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 72c | 147.71$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 11c | 131.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 12c | 122.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 74c | 120.78$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 24c | 119.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 25c | 117.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…0c07backed Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…b241backed Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 26c | 94.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 25c | 66.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac7…85b4backed Over | 32c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Over | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…f868backed Under | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 73c | 55.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Over | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb80…082fbacked Over | 25c | 44.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x837e…49a7backed Over | 35c | 42.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…bdc7backed Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eae…1916backed Under | 76c | 25.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 76c | 21.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Team to Take First CornerBelgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.