Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e258934f0a28dd4e07ce3285167b6b1c99bc98ec8ea027740792a36fa93b2e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 43c | 951.27$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.77 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Over | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 788.67$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 42c | 765.86$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.2 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 59c | 590.61$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 42c | 249.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.98 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…4d6ebacked Over | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 199.61$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 166.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.17 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 40c | 162.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Over | 60c | 162.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 40c | 159.66$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Over | 57c | 147.74$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 55c | 127.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 45c | 110.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Over | 58c | 84.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 39c | 72.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e03…beaabacked Over | 61c | 63.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 45c | 61.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…0fc7backed Over | 58c | 54.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…1a30backed Under | 43c | 42.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 42c | 29.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Team to Take First CornerBelgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.