Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9007fb42efb16a298b7cf7b41f974181a6be950e0ad7969d735b9c736d259710
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 54c | 3,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.54 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 50c | 1,582$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.02 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 47c | 1,112$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.52 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc3…b676backed Over | 50c | 882.04$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.02 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 46c | 837.35$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.15 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 44c | 744.93$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.43 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 47c | 682.01$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.54 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 53c | 550.04$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.78 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 52c | 497.37$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.74 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6d…27bbbacked Under | 52c | 385.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.35 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d5…53bfbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…1e08backed Under | 51c | 383.97$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 339.68$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.74 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 51c | 256$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 49c | 255$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.05 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Over | 51c | 236.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.44 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9647…4d48backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…c5a8backed Under | 49c | 177.86$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…6842backed Under | 56c | 142.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…51d2backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3ae9backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…3c33backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 46c | 92.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2770backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…0fc7backed Over | 49c | 90.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadb…7277backed Over | 49c | 90.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x267e…584bbacked Over | 49c | 61.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 46c | 44.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…1d7cbacked Over | 50c | 41.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Over | 48c | 41.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6abd…94ecbacked Over | 54c | 37.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 32.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8e…22ebbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…f020backed Under | 52c | 30.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…d461backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0e…c22fbacked Under | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 45c | 28.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Over | 47c | 25.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed Over | 61c | 18.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Team to Take First CornerBelgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.