Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf773e63e6ee5c8690281e1fb3ab0eeb24778950d02e1614437e7bb4ff654d6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 42c | 8,254$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.75 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 58c | 8,250$4,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,465 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…fc9dbacked Over | 48c | 2,068$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Under | 61c | 1,647$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.92 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 58c | 1,398$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.28 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…55e5backed Over | 38c | 1,032$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 55c | 1,010$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.52 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 42c | 1,005$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.1 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…54a1backed Over | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 30c | 974.9$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.54 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 59c | 895.6$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.1 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Over | 28c | 810$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.79 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +20.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Under | 58c | 722.78$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.57 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…13f5backed Over | 51c | 610.59$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…c646backed Over | 37c | 546.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 57c | 543.39$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.18 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 51c | 465.42$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.12 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Over | 22c | 453.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 27c | 452$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.32 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc812…0fccbacked Over | 40c | 425.85$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.65 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 70c | 345.09$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Under | 58c | 310.03$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.21 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked Under | 58c | 303.45$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.45 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 56c | 299.98$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 60c | 288.35$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.49 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 61c | 261.19$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.87 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 41c | 244.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 62c | 234.25$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 7c | 230.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…76b9backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 46c | 204.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2770…290bbacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 20c | 156.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 35c | 136.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 41c | 127.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 66c | 122.27$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 50c | 119.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under | 50c | 118.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 44c | 104$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…b72ebacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 53c | 98.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…099dbacked Over | 30c | 94.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 43c | 89.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 59c | 89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Over | 45c | 77.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 53c | 73.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 67c | 73.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…55ccbacked Over | 39c | 68.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…733cbacked Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 402 | 40%161 W · 241 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 56c | 30.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Under | 58c | 29.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 53c | 24.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Under | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: IR Iran O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Belgium vs. IR Iran: Team to Take First CornerBelgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.