TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,423
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$268,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,423 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over55c39,059$21,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,573.1514843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under43c37,903$16,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,644.4364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under44c29,134$12,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,310.563,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under44c20,000$8,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,299.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over57c18,110$10,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,287.632,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over45c15,812$7,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,123.781,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under48c12,964$6,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,699.331,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over58c8,700$5,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,04620844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14d8…e8f2backed Over55c8,152$4,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,505.861625%4 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over57c6,531$3,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,722.672,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over42c5,451$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,293.982,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over52c4,866$2,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,544.5718936%68 W · 121 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7528…4e36backed Under44c4,676$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600.136743.3%29 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over63c3,961$2,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.1146939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under65c3,857$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35014349.7%71 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c3,797$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,253.168,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ec…8d8ebacked Over52c3,609$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.97245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c2,978$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.642,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Under51c2,696$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.2844524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dde…24ecbacked Over56c2,680$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.1310242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over59c2,542$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Under43c2,437$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.0916755.1%92 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over56c2,335$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.4121333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under47c2,166$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.134,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over39c2,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77024635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9812536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under43c1,930$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.1586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed Over57c1,838$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.7712344.7%55 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under44c1,769$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.1858029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1159…c711backed Over56c1,706$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.867346.6%34 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Over55c1,679$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.365846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under55c1,569$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.0185851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over55c1,500$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.9937754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under50c1,476$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.132,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed Over55c1,462$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8042060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Over40c1,438$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57517241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Over57c1,404$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80017149.7%85 W · 86 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over58c1,314$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.159230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bc…e09bbacked Over55c1,309$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.69825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-55.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over56c1,250$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70040736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x974b…7c8fbacked Over58c1,234$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.722564%16 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2878…466dbacked Over57c1,228$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005032%16 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff93…1239backed Over56c1,222$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.321838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over57c1,222$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.5421640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed Over58c1,205$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.93363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ee8…432fbacked Over50c1,196$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.8412538.4%48 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…54a1backed Over56c1,168$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.6212738.6%49 W · 78 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xffda…c1fcbacked Over58c1,155$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.93372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+28.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf2b8…b908backed Over55c1,155$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.245156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+40.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over55c1,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6055536.4%20 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c1,049$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.684,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed Over56c1,023$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.9218641.9%78 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over57c1,012$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.7569534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over56c1,000$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.641,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58070648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfacb…ccc7backed Under44c999.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.993842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under38c992.96$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.052,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under44c986$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.1625848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2a…4fd0backed Over56c982.09$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.262245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+43.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Over52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over56c957.21$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.6246550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over66c920.72$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.5451859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eaa…f8f5backed Over55c912$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.660%0 W · 6 L-3.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over58c900$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.829347.4%139 W · 154 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Over57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9629…ee15backed Over56c869$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.649446.8%44 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under43c868.64$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.061,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Under44c868.39$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.4124344.9%109 W · 134 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7673…fa40backed Over55c856.36$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4711520%3 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-52.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Over55c854.55$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4707448.6%36 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Under44c826.14$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.1327554.5%150 W · 125 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac97…0c75backed Over50c804.06$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.0916042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c0…9bf5backed Over58c796$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.682958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under41c791.58$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.522,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Over55c789.25$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.098056.3%45 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over55c750$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.54238.1%16 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0aae…5efabacked Over57c742$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.946338.1%24 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Under42c714.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.2918544.9%83 W · 102 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Over56c700.27$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.038560%51 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddbf…99c2backed Over59c700$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41313045.4%59 W · 71 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Over56c680.08$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.849638.5%37 W · 59 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0366…a001backed Under33c620.66$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.462931%9 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick19cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under35c619.35$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.142,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under39c614.95$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.531,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9812…8b8dbacked Over56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3364045%18 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016342.9%70 W · 93 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x029c…7329backed Under46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.485651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over70c530.3$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.211,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6522…5ab3backed Over63c530.3$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.0913945.3%63 W · 76 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under44c529.36$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.441,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2db…ffcbbacked Over56c527.1$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.186142.6%26 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf998…13f5backed Over57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027454%148 W · 126 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…3b4dbacked Over55c501.82$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2765352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over58c501$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.5861752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Over57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28512056.7%68 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Under43c499.98$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.999839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f5f…b8efbacked Over57c494.54$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2818355.4%46 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under44c493$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.0884751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under42c484.84$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2161750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x097c…5cdebacked Over62c484.79$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick68cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.